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  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2004 U.S. Presidential Election
  2004 User Predictions - Discussion (search mode)
Pages: 1 ... 10 11 12 13 14 [15] 16 17
Author Topic: 2004 User Predictions - Discussion  (Read 830305 times)
tweed
Miamiu1027
Atlas Superstar
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Posts: 36,597
United States


« Reply #350 on: June 05, 2004, 11:36:56 am »

John now has the race at a tie, and hsi first prediction that makes any sense:
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tweed
Miamiu1027
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 36,597
United States


« Reply #351 on: June 06, 2004, 12:35:17 pm »

UPDATED Kerry v. Bush:


Bush/Cheney 307
Kerry/Edwards 231
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tweed
Miamiu1027
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 36,597
United States


« Reply #352 on: June 06, 2004, 01:18:01 pm »

Here's a crazy one:
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tweed
Miamiu1027
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 36,597
United States


« Reply #353 on: June 08, 2004, 03:27:06 pm »

This is BushAlva's map:


He makes John Engle look sane.
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tweed
Miamiu1027
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 36,597
United States


« Reply #354 on: June 09, 2004, 07:09:06 am »



Makes a little more sense, but Kerry won't lose MN and IA and win MO.
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tweed
Miamiu1027
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 36,597
United States


« Reply #355 on: June 12, 2004, 06:52:28 pm »

UPDATED Kerry v. Bush:


Bush 274
Kerry 264

Kerry/Edwards v. Bush/Cheney analysis in a quickie
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tweed
Miamiu1027
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 36,597
United States


« Reply #356 on: June 12, 2004, 06:56:43 pm »



Edwards swings WV and NC
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tweed
Miamiu1027
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 36,597
United States


« Reply #357 on: June 15, 2004, 05:41:19 pm »



Kevinstat's graph
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tweed
Miamiu1027
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 36,597
United States


« Reply #358 on: June 16, 2004, 09:42:50 am »

Lunar,  

The image is poor quality, in .jpg format.  Save in .png format for a nice, clean, crisp image.
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tweed
Miamiu1027
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 36,597
United States


« Reply #359 on: June 16, 2004, 03:25:13 pm »

Can I ask why?
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tweed
Miamiu1027
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 36,597
United States


« Reply #360 on: June 16, 2004, 03:59:58 pm »

Take a look at my high quality, brisk, beautiful new prediction map:


No EV Changes from last time.  I added CD's for ME and NE, and moved Florida to solid Bush from lean Bush.
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tweed
Miamiu1027
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 36,597
United States


« Reply #361 on: June 16, 2004, 09:24:58 pm »

Your CD-1 for Nebraska is too big.

Sad

I did it by hand...so it was hard...and I am surprised it doesn't look like total crap.  
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tweed
Miamiu1027
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 36,597
United States


« Reply #362 on: June 18, 2004, 07:22:23 am »

I am considering adding a third column/color in my map: likeley Bush.  If I do, here wil be the key:

Lean (light red or blue): <5% lead
Likely (medium red or blue): 5-10% lead
Solid (dark red or blue): >10% lead
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tweed
Miamiu1027
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 36,597
United States


« Reply #363 on: June 18, 2004, 07:30:38 am »

I'm there
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tweed
Miamiu1027
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 36,597
United States


« Reply #364 on: June 18, 2004, 08:35:36 am »

How's this?

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tweed
Miamiu1027
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 36,597
United States


« Reply #365 on: June 18, 2004, 10:31:25 am »

I don't like your color system.  The big red Bush area hurts my eyes.
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tweed
Miamiu1027
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 36,597
United States


« Reply #366 on: June 21, 2004, 08:17:20 am »

StatesRights,

Your percentages are out of whack.  Bush won't get 60% in TN, KY, IN, and SC.  Also, there is NO WAY Kerry gets 60% in Vermont.  Gore only got about 51% there.
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tweed
Miamiu1027
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 36,597
United States


« Reply #367 on: June 21, 2004, 10:44:33 am »


Wanna put money on 60% for Kerry in Vermont?
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tweed
Miamiu1027
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 36,597
United States


« Reply #368 on: June 22, 2004, 10:33:30 am »

I told you, no DC elector will abstain...but you don't seem to listen...
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tweed
Miamiu1027
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 36,597
United States


« Reply #369 on: June 24, 2004, 07:46:33 pm »

Update:


Iowa seems to be becoming solid for Kerry, while Michigan is getting closer, as is North Carolina.  The closest states are probably Pennsylvania (Kerry up one), Ohio (Bush up two), and West Virginia (Kerry up 1.5).

North Carolina is right on the brink of 'solid' Bush.
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tweed
Miamiu1027
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 36,597
United States


« Reply #370 on: June 24, 2004, 07:48:51 pm »

Error: WA should be light red on my little map.
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tweed
Miamiu1027
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 36,597
United States


« Reply #371 on: July 03, 2004, 09:15:07 pm »

Updated for your viewing pleasure/displeasure. Not sure about Washington. Still a What-If IMHO.



Why does Kerry win New Mexico but lose Michigan and Washington?
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tweed
Miamiu1027
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 36,597
United States


« Reply #372 on: July 15, 2004, 12:26:09 pm »

States,

Stop fooling around
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tweed
Miamiu1027
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 36,597
United States


« Reply #373 on: July 16, 2004, 10:30:48 am »

Yes, you're fooling around.  Kerry won't win NM if he loses Washington.
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tweed
Miamiu1027
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 36,597
United States


« Reply #374 on: July 16, 2004, 07:25:37 pm »

This just may be my ignorance, but why would Bush win Wisconsin, Ohio and PA etc. but win Iowa. Or am I missing something States.

Siege

Did you mean 'lose' for one of those?
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