2004 User Predictions - Discussion (user search)
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Author Topic: 2004 User Predictions - Discussion  (Read 867158 times)
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StatesRights
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,126
Political Matrix
E: 7.61, S: 0.00

« Reply #175 on: July 23, 2004, 02:27:29 AM »

If the senate ties 50-50, does Cheney get to cast the tiebreaker?

Yes.
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StatesRights
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,126
Political Matrix
E: 7.61, S: 0.00

« Reply #176 on: July 25, 2004, 11:13:41 AM »

Carl,

Tell me what you think of this.

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StatesRights
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,126
Political Matrix
E: 7.61, S: 0.00

« Reply #177 on: July 25, 2004, 12:00:11 PM »

In general, quite plausible. however, I believe New Mexico is more likely to vote Republican than Washington, and Iowa more likely than Michigan.

The bottom line is that Bush has the hearland advantage.

I need the order in which the states are called on election night to make a proper analysis. If you can provide that I would be grateful. Smiley
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StatesRights
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,126
Political Matrix
E: 7.61, S: 0.00

« Reply #178 on: July 25, 2004, 03:52:52 PM »

Vermont may be close.
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StatesRights
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,126
Political Matrix
E: 7.61, S: 0.00

« Reply #179 on: July 25, 2004, 04:15:05 PM »

I believe it starts

Indiana
Kentucky
Florida
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StatesRights
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,126
Political Matrix
E: 7.61, S: 0.00

« Reply #180 on: July 26, 2004, 10:29:56 AM »

This is going to sound rediculously stupid, but what's the date of the 2004 election?

Siege


November 2nd. If you're a Democrat it's on November 3rd. Wink
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StatesRights
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,126
Political Matrix
E: 7.61, S: 0.00

« Reply #181 on: August 01, 2004, 05:40:18 PM »

Clinton and the DNC hurt McBride in Florida vs JEB Bush back in 2002. You know the one where JEB won by 13% and somehow it's all irrevelant to 2004. Roll Eyes
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StatesRights
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,126
Political Matrix
E: 7.61, S: 0.00

« Reply #182 on: August 18, 2004, 09:31:38 PM »

Here is a map from the realm of impossible :

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StatesRights
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,126
Political Matrix
E: 7.61, S: 0.00

« Reply #183 on: September 17, 2004, 12:25:53 PM »


I wish the Brits and the Canadians could participate in the US elections.

I wish England would take New England back.
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StatesRights
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,126
Political Matrix
E: 7.61, S: 0.00

« Reply #184 on: September 17, 2004, 12:31:01 PM »


Me too.
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StatesRights
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,126
Political Matrix
E: 7.61, S: 0.00

« Reply #185 on: October 20, 2004, 02:49:40 PM »

Updated.



Washington, Michigan, Oregon, WV and New Hampshire are finished.
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StatesRights
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,126
Political Matrix
E: 7.61, S: 0.00

« Reply #186 on: October 20, 2004, 03:05:15 PM »

Updated.



Washington, Michigan, Oregon, WV and New Hampshire are finished.
you forgot to fix New Jersey.

New Jersey is my election night suprise. Wink Allow me to stay disillusioned, ok? Smiley
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StatesRights
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,126
Political Matrix
E: 7.61, S: 0.00

« Reply #187 on: October 23, 2004, 04:14:25 PM »


   Bush is ahead by 3 in NC, which makes NC a tie.

 

NC is out of play. Bush by 6% at least.
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StatesRights
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,126
Political Matrix
E: 7.61, S: 0.00

« Reply #188 on: October 23, 2004, 05:00:56 PM »


   Survey USA poll this past week.    NC  Bush 50  Kerry 47.

   North Carolina is similar to VA in this election, except without as much of a military vote.  It's a world apart from South Carolina.

Doubt it will end that close. Kerry has never lead in any poll in N.Carolina.
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