2004 User Predictions - Discussion

[© tweed]

<<On a related issue, Israel supporters here were listening when Dean said we "shouldn't take sides in the Middle East".>>
I'm Jewish, and I am not offended by the remark and do not know anyone who is.  I'm sure some people are though.

[© tweed]

Dean does have that problem with Jewish voters.  Also with Jewish voters, one would imagine theey always want a President that is Strong on the defense of Israel or at least protectionist of them.  Does Dean fit that bill?  He was againbst getting rid of Saddam, which did make ISrael safer.  No more Scuds coming there way or tyrannt paying for suicide bombers.  Also Bush has been taken the game right at the enemies of Israel and would definately be seen as strong.  

Not sure about NY, but I'm sure this will help him among Jewish voters.

I think The Jewish voting population is distributed this way:

25%: Vote exlcusively on Israeli issues.
25%: Vote somewhat on Israeli Issues.
50%: Vote mostly on American Issues.

So dean would probably win the Jewish vote 60-35% or so.

[© tweed]

I don't vote on if a candidate is personally likeable [I voted for gore ], but rather if they can get the job done.  I don't think GWB is personally likeable, but I can see how some people would say he is.

[© tweed]

But Bush is doing the job and shows he can, he has already checked this block.

Hm, I am still not convinced. He is allright as a texas governor or an oil tycoon, but I wouldn't really want him to be my president. Which he isn't, so I guess I shouldn't complain too much...

Haha...
The only Dem is would have trouble voting for is Kerry.

[© tweed]

I think i got your point, but you are missing a few words

But Bush is doing the job and shows he can, he has already checked this block.

Hm, I am still not convinced. He is allright as a texas governor or an oil tycoon, but I wouldn't really want him to be my president. Which he isn't, so I guess I shouldn't complain too much...

Haha...
The only Dem is would have trouble voting for is Kerry.

I am missing words?  What does that mean?

[© tweed]

Oh, I wrote 'is' instead of 'I'.

[© tweed]

AFPresident sounds better.  But Hugh, we need your vote!

I had Gore losing Maine, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Iowa, Washington, Oregon, and New Mexico, all of which he won.  Don't try to make optimistic predictions, you'll dissapoint yourself.  
Another way to solve the problem is to make best-case scenario predictions and worst-case scenario predictions.

[© tweed]

How about I name you the leader of the AFDNC voter registration department?

[© tweed]

How about I name you the leader of the AFDNC voter registration department?

OK, I feel honoured!

I will start right away!

Go to work buddy!

[© tweed]

Dammit, Hugh!  you messed this up.  Fix your bracket so me don'thave to carry on like this.

[© tweed]

Lets keep posting so this goes away.

[© tweed]

I like Jennifer Aniston.

[© tweed]

Why not?

[© tweed]

When I try to post, it still looks like this.

[© tweed]

No, not too long.

The problem is the posts we have listed under the box we type in.  Once we push gustaf's quote of Hugh out of there, we're home free.

[© tweed]

We can do this!  Just keep posting!

[© tweed]

Yes, whatever I say.  I am the boss.
I think one more postb and the problem is fixed.

[© tweed]

Oh Yeah.  I got it.

[© tweed]

Oh Yeah.  I got it.

HA! We did it!

High five!
Back to the discussion.

[© tweed]

Clark would lose wisconsin.

[© tweed]

Clark would lose wisconsin.

Hm.  Probably right about that actually...

Yeah, bush could expose clark's phonieness.

[© tweed]

California should come around to the Dems eventually. Let's keep in mind that most undecideds break against the incumbent, so Bush will most likely do worse in some states than current polls predict. But I agree that Clark no longer looks like a strong candidate.

CA probably will go Dem but it will be close.

[© tweed]

I posted my Edwards prediction here somewhere, I have Edwards losing by 14 ev's.

[© tweed]

I posted my Edwards prediction here somewhere, I have Edwards losing by 14 ev's.

Yeah, I remember that one.

If only you remembered the location!!

[© tweed]

I don't think Dean would take NH.

I think Delaware was originally part of Pennsylvania (I'm talking colonial times) and then broke away from it.  Not sure about that though.