Russia-Ukraine war and related tensions Megathread
Woody:
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Electric Circus:
Ukraine sees an offensive coming:
Quote
The race to beef up Kyiv’s defensive positions comes as Western and Ukrainian officials warn of a larger Russian offensive in the coming months. Russian independent media have reported that the Kremlin is gearing up for a new mobilization of manpower and an offensive that could be aimed at Kharkiv, the largest city in Eastern Ukraine.
Recent strikes on Kharkiv are the most severe since 2022:
Quote
Russia struck the northeastern city of Kharkiv with aerial bombs Wednesday for the first time since 2022, killing at least one civilian and wounding 16 others, local officials said.
The airstrikes caused widespread damage, hitting several residential buildings and damaging the city’s institute for emergency surgery.
Hindsight was 2020:
Quote from: Electric Circus on March 28, 2024, 07:04:42 PM
Ukraine sees an offensive coming:
Quote
The race to beef up Kyiv’s defensive positions comes as Western and Ukrainian officials warn of a larger Russian offensive in the coming months. Russian independent media have reported that the Kremlin is gearing up for a new mobilization of manpower and an offensive that could be aimed at Kharkiv, the largest city in Eastern Ukraine.
Recent strikes on Kharkiv are the most severe since 2022:
Quote
Russia struck the northeastern city of Kharkiv with aerial bombs Wednesday for the first time since 2022, killing at least one civilian and wounding 16 others, local officials said.
The airstrikes caused widespread damage, hitting several residential buildings and damaging the city’s institute for emergency surgery.
The FT had a good read on this as well. Good thing these lines are being dug in and the million shells the Czech got approval for is going to start coming in next month ahead of schedule
https://archive.ph/T4NH5
jaichind:
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/its-time-we-talked-about-the-fall-of-kyiv-6l3vrxbhf
"It's time we talked about the fall of Kyiv"
Collective West MSN shifts the narrative from "stalemate" to "prepare for stab in the back"
Electric Circus:
The latest update from the Institute for the Study of War is about as dire as I've read from them, and identifies shortages of both manpower and materiel as critical vulnerabilities:
Quote
Ukraine is currently preventing Russian forces from making significant tactical gains along the entire frontline, but continued delays in US security assistance will likely expand the threat of Russian operational success, including in non-linear and possibly exponential ways.
[...]
Zelensky stated that Ukrainian forces are not prepared to defend against another major Russian offensive effort expected in May or June 2024, however.
The link also has some details on what Russia is doing with glide bombs and why they've been such a potent weapon as Ukraine's air defenses continue to degrade.
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