Russia-Ukraine war and related tensions Megathread

[Hindsight was 2020]

https://twitter.com/kyivpost/status/1657019618261712904?s=12
Lol the dude is like a day away from saying “Russia has fallen, billions must die”

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

What glorious news to wake up to.

[Woody]

Again guys, still very early on. Prigozhin dooming as always. This attack was expected. I'll believe Russians are in serious danger when Klischiivka falls in the south and Berkhivka settlement in the north falls. As for now, any actual talk of encirclement of the city is inappropriate. For now there has not been any major breakthroughs.

[lfromnj]

Something I haven't seen discussed much about Wagner is that all the surviving prisonor troops who signed up in September, October, and November have had their 6 month terms all end. Survival rates weren't high but those who did survive had to have been fairly elite troops.

[Hindsight was 2020]

https://twitter.com/tendar/status/1657049695728947200?s=12

[MasterJedi]

Again guys, still very early on. Prigozhin dooming as always. This attack was expected. I'll believe Russians are in serious danger when Klischiivka falls in the south and Berkhivka settlement in the north falls. As for now, any actual talk of encirclement of the city is inappropriate. For now there has not been any major breakthroughs.

The Russians don't care that their American pawns bend the knee, you're still the enemy to them, they will not reward you.

[pppolitics]

Again guys, still very early on. Prigozhin dooming as always. This attack was expected. I'll believe Russians are in serious danger when Klischiivka falls in the south and Berkhivka settlement in the north falls. As for now, any actual talk of encirclement of the city is inappropriate. For now there has not been any major breakthroughs.

I have good news for you.

Russia is planning a village for people just like you.

https://www.newsweek.com/russia-may-build-village-american-conservatives-1799809

[CumbrianLefty]

Prigozhin may indeed be "dooming", but the mere fact he is doing so is surely an indicator that not everything is going Russia's way.

[Woody]

https://twitter.com/squatsons/status/1657014629959352320?cxt=HHwWgIDS5dqB8_4tAAAA

RIP Freedom Fighter.

He was fighting since 2014. He was one of those captured in Azovstal, and managed to be exchanged back.

Note: Totenkopf insignia.

[John Dule]

Again guys, still very early on. Prigozhin dooming as always. This attack was expected. I'll believe Russians are in serious danger when Klischiivka falls in the south and Berkhivka settlement in the north falls. As for now, any actual talk of encirclement of the city is inappropriate. For now there has not been any major breakthroughs.

[Virginiá]

Again guys, still very early on. Prigozhin dooming as always. This attack was expected. I'll believe Russians are in serious danger when Klischiivka falls in the south and Berkhivka settlement in the north falls. As for now, any actual talk of encirclement of the city is inappropriate. For now there has not been any major breakthroughs.

Yesterday you were calling this a "Twitter offensive" (eg a nothingburger):

Yeah, no, this is a Twitter offensive. Seems like cope because I have found literally nothing. They entered some positions in a gray area west of the water channels and that's pretty much it. Meanwhile Wagner still advancing in city itself.

..when, sure, it isn't some Autumn-esque Thunder run through Kharkiv Oblast, but it's clearly more than what you thought the other day. You are so eager to tell everyone here that they are wrong and overdosing on copium that you are tripping over your own incorrect conclusions.

[KaiserDave]

Prigozhin looks like an angry gnome. Anyway I thought Bakhmut was supposed to fall in February what gives??? The Sons of Kovpak are much better at war than Yevgeny and Vlad.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Something I haven't seen discussed much about Wagner is that all the surviving prisonor troops who signed up in September, October, and November have had their 6 month terms all end. Survival rates weren't high but those who did survive had to have been fairly elite troops.

I guess that's one positive thing for Wagner admist a lot of bad news.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Inertia in mud season can be overcame, but perhaps it has been sorely underestimated.

[Torie]

I don't see Klischiivka and Berkhivka having much to do about anything. The danger to Ukraine was the cutting off of the access road. With the Russians now having fled to behind the two water barriers, the access road appears to be safe. In fact, it is now more "protected" by the two bodies of water. So if Wagner etc want to throw more bodies for slaughter against the Ukraine defensive line, they can keep doing so. The idea I suspect is to get Russia to have as many forces as possible committed to the Bahkmut meat grinder. Best of all would be to have Putin himself go down there and lead the charge.

[Devout Centrist]

Again guys, still very early on. Prigozhin dooming as always. This attack was expected. I'll believe Russians are in serious danger when Klischiivka falls in the south and Berkhivka settlement in the north falls. As for now, any actual talk of encirclement of the city is inappropriate. For now there has not been any major breakthroughs.

No, it's just that the Ukrainian probing attacks have melted the Russian lines like butter. Is this the fabled spring counteroffensive? Probably not, but this is a truly pathetic result after the whole Wagner-Bakhmut fiasco.

[Storr]

A sitting member of the Russian Duma injured (looks to be lightly, if at all) by an AFU attack on Luhansk city. And yes, his English wikipedia profile picture makes him look like a Star Wars villain:


https://twitter.com/bayraktar_1love/status/1657129933716553730?s=20

https://twitter.com/GirkinGirkin/status/1657124056016080897?s=20

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

A sitting member of the Russian Duma injured (looks to be lightly) by an AFU attack on Luhansk city. And yes, his wikipedia profile picture makes him look like a Star Wars villain:

https://twitter.com/JimmySecUK/status/1657055614663524352?s=20
https://twitter.com/bayraktar_1love/status/1657127003911335940?s=20
https://twitter.com/GirkinGirkin/status/1657124056016080897?s=20

This is the Russian wikipedia article about him
(Left-click for Google Translate into English)
He was made a "Hero of the Lug-ansk People's Republic (2022)".

[lfromnj]

Something I haven't seen discussed much about Wagner is that all the surviving prisonor troops who signed up in September, October, and November have had their 6 month terms all end. Survival rates weren't high but those who did survive had to have been fairly elite troops.

I guess that's one positive thing for Wagner admist a lot of bad news.

No its bad news for Wagner because they are no longer serving. The MOD also stopped the Wagner recruitment process.

[Storr]

Prigozhin looks like an angry gnome. Anyway I thought Bakhmut was supposed to fall in February what gives??? The Sons of Kovpak are much better at war than Yevgeny and Vlad.

https://twitter.com/francis_scarr/status/1657043242347577346?s=20

[Alben Barkley]

Again guys, still very early on. Prigozhin dooming as always. This attack was expected. I'll believe Russians are in serious danger when Klischiivka falls in the south and Berkhivka settlement in the north falls. As for now, any actual talk of encirclement of the city is inappropriate. For now there has not been any major breakthroughs.

Maybe your greatest meme ever.

[Buffalo Mayor Young Kim]

Merrick Garland has OK’d the transfer of frozen Russian assets to Ukraine.

https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/us-attorney-general-oks-transfer-forfeited-funds-russia-oligarch-use-ukraine-2023-05-10/

[ProudModerate2]

Russia tried to destroy US-made Patriot system in Ukraine.

Russia tried to destroy a US-made Patriot air defense system in Ukraine last week with a hypersonic missile, two US officials told CNN.

The attack failed, and the Ukrainian military instead intercepted the missile using the Patriot system, the officials said, marking their first known successful Ukrainian use of the advanced air defense system only weeks after it arrived in country.

https://www.cnn.com/2023/05/12/politics/russia-patriot-missiles-ukraine/index.html

It's seems that Woody's hypersonic missiles failed.

[Buffalo Mayor Young Kim]

Russia tried to destroy US-made Patriot system in Ukraine.

Russia tried to destroy a US-made Patriot air defense system in Ukraine last week with a hypersonic missile, two US officials told CNN.

The attack failed, and the Ukrainian military instead intercepted the missile using the Patriot system, the officials said, marking their first known successful Ukrainian use of the advanced air defense system only weeks after it arrived in country.

https://www.cnn.com/2023/05/12/politics/russia-patriot-missiles-ukraine/index.html

It's seems that Woody's hypersonic missiles failed.

Russian wonderweapons/marketing stunts failed to have any noticeable impact? I’m shocked, shocked,

[Storr]

https://twitter.com/GeoConfirmed/status/1657018982367461382?s=20

https://twitter.com/GeoConfirmed/status/1657018986754613249?s=20