It's a tossup after Virginia.
You're wrong. It is more like Likely R after Virginia.
1. Biden won Virginia by 10% and Colorado by 14%. 14-10=4.
2. Connecticut was fourth state to join US Climate Alliance. Ned Lamont won Governor's race in a blue wave only by 3 points.
3. 2020 election were held on November 3rd. Gravis poll of Wisconsin predicted Biden winning by 11 points.
4. Eleventh month is November. In 2002 Republicans won House vote in Colorado by 11%
This only proves that this poll is also wrong and Republican nominee will win by at least 11%