WI - Marquette Law: Evers underwater

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Starting to wonder if every statewide election in a state that wasn't Biden by double digits in 2020 is gone in 2022?

Again, people are extrapolating way too much from VA and NJ (esp given other circumstances in NJ).

PA and GA would suggest otherwise.

Oh wow local races in Georgia are clearly a much better indicator of the midterms than VA.

I mean none of those states are actually particularly like Wisconsin. I know it’s semi in vogue on this forum to treat GA like its own microcosm and everything else as a unified bloc but assuming linearity between these two Governor elections (a year apart!) is a tad ridiculous.

I think Virginia mostly just confirmed other peoples priors about a bad year coming up for Democrats. Maybe just a mildly R leaning year but a wave is also possible. Its hard to see Evers survive either such event. Obviously this poll is bad due to no Kleefisch.  Its pretty sad when a user is bringing up local municipal races as proof of a nationwide indicator. At that point one might as well argue the year will be R+70 because Republicans won a race in Seattle.

We are gonna have higher turnout than 2021 and we didn't have Fed candidates running in 2021 WI is a D plus 2 state according to Cook standards everything isn't about VA

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

It's hilarious seeing people try to extrapolate this much.
The possibility still exists 2022 could be a Dem year, even a strong one.
Neither GA local races nor VA/NJ tell us too much.
Bad election results for one party may as well be merely tools to back your narrative about how the next cycle will go.
And Atlas has always done this. It overanalyzes and overextrapolates six ways till Tuesday.
Whatever. I'll wait till Labor Day to start making strong assumptions about precisely how the midterms will go.

[Suburbia]

Likely R

Evers was not a good governor, Wisconsin Democrats should ask him to retire and look for someone who can hold the seat.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Likely R

Evers was not a good governor, Wisconsin Democrats should ask him to retire and look for someone who can hold the seat.

No it's not Biden is at 49% Approval and if he winds up at 50/45 we win WI, OA and MI, D's wind up exactly at their Prez Approvals and we won.WI in 2020

Biden doesn't have to be at 503 until Nov not Jan 22

[UWS]

The Waukesha parade attack was the last thing Evers needed. It will likely further make law and order issues a top issue. But Evers vetoed a bill that would have penalized cities and counties that defund police departments. So he can't be trusted to denounce the Defund the Police movement, he sides with them every time he faces an issue about law enforcement.

https://madison.com/wsj/news/local/govt-and-politics/tony-evers-vetoes-bill-that-would-have-penalized-cities-counties-that-defund-police-departments/article_30125a78-7312-53d1-9972-9b16e305d008.html

[SnowLabrador]

Likely R

Evers was not a good governor, Wisconsin Democrats should ask him to retire and look for someone who can hold the seat.

That would be a big mistake. Incumbency is literally the only thing Evers has going for him in this election.