VA-Gov (FOX 5 DC/InsiderAdvantage*): Youngkin +2

[wbrocks67]

If you don’t think Youngkin is winning this thing then you really don’t know politics

again, no offense because I'm not trying to be mean, but you of all people should not be getting on your high horse about this

[ElectionsGuy]

This does tend to be a slightly right-leaning outfit (but was pretty accurate last year) so I really would like the final polls to come in today.

[2016]

This does tend to be a slightly right-leaning outfit (but was pretty accurate last year) so I really would like the final polls to come in today.

Having the Momentum in a Turnout Election means everything regardless if this Poll is accurate or not.

[TodayJunior]

If you don’t think Youngkin is winning this thing then you really don’t know politics

I will now concede this race is a coin flip. But it’s hard to see Rs actually winning this state. Guess I’ll have to see it to believe it.

[Badger]

It feels a bit late for Youngkin for him only to be leading by 2 in what looks like an actually solid poll this late in the process.
If he doesn't get enough Election Day votes to swamp Dem early votes, he's screwed.

 Why couldn't he? Genuine question.

I'm hardly a Dumer, MA but as previously noted yesterday I am increasingly pessimistic about this race. I'm not rolling out a T-Mac  Win, but with numbers like these I'm not sure why the election day vote wouldn't go strongly  Republican

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

It feels a bit late for Youngkin for him only to be leading by 2 in what looks like an actually solid poll this late in the process.
If he doesn't get enough Election Day votes to swamp Dem early votes, he's screwed.

 Why couldn't he? Genuine question.

I'm hardly a Dumer, MA but as previously noted yesterday I am increasingly pessimistic about this race. I'm not rolling out a T-Mac  Win, but with numbers like these I'm not sure why the election day vote wouldn't go strongly  Republican

Rs specifically promoted early voting this time, and Trump isn't going around as a candidate on the ballot paper bad-mouthing early voting. The fruit of this can see been in places like Goochland having a huge amount of early voters relative to 2020.
It seems normal patterns might be able to assert themselves a bit. Historically early voting was much more balanced.
It won't necessarily be as easy as expected.