Which VA County has more raw votes in 2021? (user search)
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  Which VA County has more raw votes in 2021? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Which VA County has more raw votes in 2021?
#1
Loudoun		  
#2
Virginia Beach		  
#3
Prince William		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 32

Author Topic: Which VA County has more raw votes in 2021?  (Read 1049 times)
Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,169
« on: October 29, 2021, 11:32:55 PM »
For reference.  2020 numbers:

Virginia Beach = 227,561

Loudoun = 224,862

Prince William = 228,056
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Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,169
« Reply #1 on: October 30, 2021, 01:10:24 PM »
VA Beach???
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Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,169
« Reply #2 on: October 30, 2021, 02:48:03 PM »
Quote from: YOU JUST POSTED MALARKEY! on October 30, 2021, 02:16:14 PM
This is an interesting question, unfortunately it seems that it's receiving a lack of attention

I'm gonna go with Loudoun because of population growth and affluence resulting in higher turnout

Completely agree, just on population growth alone. 
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Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,169
« Reply #3 on: October 30, 2021, 09:24:48 PM »
BTW, these are early vote numbers as of yesterday:

Loudoun: 49,263

Prince William: 52,484 (this one trending up spectacularly this past week - not sure why)

Virginia Beach: 48,825
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Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,169
« Reply #4 on: October 30, 2021, 09:51:52 PM »
https://www.vpap.org/visuals/visual/population-change/

Important to note that even though Loudoun is growing fastest of the three, Prince William also grew a lot the past decade and is still by far the most populated of the three counties even though its turnout tends to be a bit lower.
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Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,169
« Reply #5 on: October 31, 2021, 10:25:50 PM »
Quote from: Asian Baptist Chesterfield Swing Voters For Blanding! on October 31, 2021, 08:27:47 PM
Do we know where this turnout is from in PW?
Something is not being caught by polls or the news.
This could mean many things and have several different potential implications depending on who is turning out.

No but if you believe TargetSmart it is being modeled as having an extremely extremely D tilt:

https://targetearly.targetsmart.com/g2021?amp%3Bamp%3Bgeo=All&amp%3Bamp%3Bgeo_type=statewide&amp%3Bamp%3Bstate=VA&demo_filters=%5B%7B%22key%22%3A%22modeledParty%22%2C%22value%22%3A%22All%22%7D%5D&geo=Prince%20William&geo_type=counties&state=VA
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