VA-Gov(Fox): Youngkin +8 with Likely Voters
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  VA-Gov(Fox): Youngkin +8 with Likely Voters
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Author Topic: VA-Gov(Fox): Youngkin +8 with Likely Voters  (Read 4981 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #100 on: October 29, 2021, 07:54:59 AM »

I've tried to tell people that Fox polls suck. They're all over the place and have no consistency, but generally overestimate Democrats (this is an exception).

This poll hasn't been backed up by any other polls, it's a tossup every other poll has it within MOE
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #101 on: October 29, 2021, 08:46:46 AM »

Ugh, Fox News polls are usually pretty good although the network itsself is very biased. Did they change their pollster?

If accurate, this is spelling trouble and we might not have seen/refused to see the writing on the wall. I'm no longer so certain McAuliffe will end up winning. He won't lose by that much though.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #102 on: October 29, 2021, 09:20:44 AM »

Trash it Wash post has it 49/48
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Vaccinated Russian Bear
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« Reply #103 on: October 29, 2021, 09:46:53 AM »


FIFY
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The Smiling Face On Your TV
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« Reply #104 on: October 29, 2021, 10:17:01 AM »

While statistical deviation needs to be taken into account, this does match the overall trend of enthusiasm being high among conservatives and older white voters (a.k.a. the GOP base).
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President Johnson
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« Reply #105 on: October 29, 2021, 01:45:18 PM »

The sample is questionable, as already stated. However, it can't be denied that there seems to be a significant shift towards Youngkin the final days. I would no longer rule out that he pulls this off, although I never thought that was remotely possible. Not making a new prediction at this point, though my previous one of T-Mac +8 will certainly not age well.
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LAKISYLVANIA
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« Reply #106 on: October 29, 2021, 03:36:36 PM »

538 has Youngkin in the lead
so does RCP
probably due to that Fox outlier
Youngkin +8 jeez, what a bold poll
big gap between RV and LV
maybe voter enthusiasm among some Democrats is low in VA
VA is a state i think that values foreign policies of a president or political party more than most states
so if you nationalize the race, they might have made an enormous mistake in hindsight
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SN2903
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« Reply #107 on: October 31, 2021, 07:39:29 AM »

Everyone do yourselves a favor...just breathe. This is one poll. Clearly an outlier.
cope
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Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #108 on: October 31, 2021, 10:51:49 AM »


You do realize Fox polls have a quite good reputation, regardless of the reputation of Fox News as a whole?

So did Quinnipiac once upon a time.  Nobody on Earth 1 can take this poll seriously.  It's Virginia.  I have said in the past that the wrong Democrat can make VA a race but not an R+8 race.
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S019
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« Reply #109 on: October 31, 2021, 04:03:47 PM »

I'm going to go out on a limb and say that this likely voter screen is going to have a lot of egg on its face come Tuesday, even if Youngkin wins.
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Buffalo Mayor Young Kim
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« Reply #110 on: October 31, 2021, 10:10:49 PM »

If you have a 7 point difference between LVs and RVs, your screen is messed up.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #111 on: November 01, 2021, 10:17:39 AM »

These polls just like the Biden Approvals are just to make you want to pay attention
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iceman
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« Reply #112 on: November 01, 2021, 11:38:16 AM »

are we still expecting a Quinniapiac poll before tomorrow?
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