Fuzzy Bear
Atlas Star
Posts: 25,721
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« on: January 29, 2022, 12:41:44 PM » |
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C+ because he won.
Murphy was caught a bit flat-footed, but he should not have been surprised at the closeness. NJ is a more elastic state than many, and it has a suburban base that has become more liberal on social issues such as abortion over the years, but can still be mobilized by crime and tax issues. The COVID-19 restrictions were a new factor that impacted the suburban base disproportionately. Murphy wasn't really ready for that, either.
Tax and crime issues still motivate NJ's suburban voters. People don't appreciate Bronz enough here; he's giving you a window into a world of the swing voters of NJ. The Biden-Cicciarelli voters. There were more of them than people thought would be.
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