PA Dem & GOP Primary (F&M)

[wbrocks67]

GOP primary (n=184)
Sean Parnell 11% (14% in August)
Kathy Barnette 3% (6% in August)
Jeff Bartos 2% (4% in August)
Carla Sands 2% (1% in August)
Sean Gale 0% (3% in August)
Someone else 3% (7% in August)
Don’t Know 78% (66% in August)

DEM primary (n=208)
John Fetterman 34% (33% in August)
Conor Lamb 12% (12% in August)
Malcolm Kenyatta 5% (5% in August)
Sharif Street 5% (0% in August)
Val Arkoosh 4% (6% in August)
Someone else 3% (3% In August)
Do not know 37% (42% in August)

https://www.fandm.edu/uploads/files/355860667842193878-keyoct21-toplines.pdf

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Kenyatta, all that hype and money for what 5%

[Mr.Phips]

Confirms my opinion that Lamb should have just run for re-election. Unless he knows that his seat is going to have to become more Republican in redistricting.

[SnowLabrador]

So name recognition seems to be much lower for Parnell than Fetterman. This doesn't change my belief that Parnell will win the primary and general election.

[Pollster]

The most interesting thing in this poll for me is the movement among Republicans describing their "faction" allegiance:

This polls breaks them down as 34% Trump Republican/46% Traditional Republican/20% Something Else.
August was 47% Trump/31% Traditional/20% Something Else.
June was 50% Trump/30% Traditional/17% Something Else.
March was 42% Trump/38% Traditional/17% Something Else.

Sample sizes are small, but large enough for the change from August to October to be statistically significant.

The Democrats' version of the question has been fairly rigidly stable.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

So name recognition seems to be much lower for Parnell than Fetterman. This doesn't change my belief that Parnell will win the primary and general election.

You also said Warnock and Gari Peters we're gonna lose too

[Canis]

Interesting crosstabs
Trumps Favorables -17
39-56-2
Biden's favorables -6
45-51-3
Dem Primary second choice
Connor Lamb 25%
John Fetterman 17%
Malcom Kenyatta 15%
Val Arkoosh 5%
Sharif Street 4%
Someone else 1%
Unsure 33%
Rep Primary second choice
Jeff Bartos 21%
Kathy Barnette 17%
Carla Sands 7%
Sean Parnell 4%
Sean Gale 1%
Unsure 51%

The most interesting thing in this poll for me is the movement among Republicans describing their "faction" allegiance:

This polls breaks them down as 34% Trump Republican/46% Traditional Republican/20% Something Else.
August was 47% Trump/31% Traditional/20% Something Else.
June was 50% Trump/30% Traditional/17% Something Else.
March was 42% Trump/38% Traditional/17% Something Else.

Sample sizes are small, but large enough for the change from August to October to be statistically significant.

The Democrats' version of the question has been fairly rigidly stable.

Also on the dems side interestingly enough
Progressive Democrat Narrowly leads Centrist Democrat in PA
38% Progressive 37% Centrist 18% Something else 6% Unsure 

[Grumpier Than Thou]

Sample size is way too small for both sides, but this seems about right except for Street at 5%. I would probably guess Lamb is underperforming in this poll as well, as is Malcolm.

[President Johnson]

The sample size is way too small, though it's certainly fair to say that Fetterman is the frontrunner for now and has been since the start. Hope he wins the nomination and general election.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Sample size is way too small for both sides, but this seems about right except for Street at 5%. I would probably guess Lamb is underperforming in this poll as well, as is Malcolm.

Malcolm bought and paid for 5%