PresCoalition/KAConsulting (R)- VA- Youngkin +2

[Matty]

https://twitter.com/PollProjectUSA/status/1452310678195343363


too many undecideds

their last poll was mcauliffe +5 though, back in sept

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

Princess Blanding momentum!!

[SnowLabrador]

Tossup.

[ElectionsGuy]

Poll looks kinda crappy (too conservative, not enough black voters) and there's push polling for some of the questions but if it's true that it moved from +5 D to +2 R then that's notable. Biden approval looks realistic.

[kwabbit]

Poll looks kinda crappy (too conservative, not enough black voters) and there's push polling for some of the questions but if it's true that it moved from +5 D to +2 R then that's notable. Biden approval looks realistic.

All internals create these crazy trend lines. They’ll manipulate a previous poll to be super strong for the opposing candidate to make it seem like their candidate is catching up and has massive momentum.

[Hollywood]

This is a Kelly Anne Conway poll.  It might be correct, but I'm not putting much stock into it.  There's isn't enough data within the internals. 

[Person Man]

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2017_VA_TPC_10_27_20171.pdf

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

Internals are internals.

[CascadianIndy]

>16% undecided

it should be considered pollster malpractice to have undecideds in double digits less than two weeks from the election at this rate, it can't be that hard to push them so it gets cut down to single digits at the very least

[Person Man]

>16% undecided

it should be considered pollster malpractice to have undecideds in double digits less than two weeks from the election at this rate, it can't be that hard to push them so it gets cut down to single digits at the very least

And they were pushing apparently.

[wbrocks67]

Do better Kelly Anne!

https://twitter.com/beardedcrank/status/1452378393857626124

[Xing]

Yep, and Reynolds will probably lose by 2 in 2022, as well. #PartyLikeIts2012

[jamestroll]

I'm about to bang my wall and scream

Omg no ... trumpism is making a come back

This is serious!

[ElectionsGuy]

Poll looks kinda crappy (too conservative, not enough black voters) and there's push polling for some of the questions but if it's true that it moved from +5 D to +2 R then that's notable. Biden approval looks realistic.

All internals create these crazy trend lines. They’ll manipulate a previous poll to be super strong for the opposing candidate to make it seem like their candidate is catching up and has massive momentum.

That's true, but that's also just been the trendline of this race over the past two months.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Internals are, on average, biased towards the candidate in question by a margin of 3 points.
If that is applied here, then this is in line with McAuliffe winning by 1 to 2 points.

[TodayJunior]

What is up with all of these internals? Unless I see a public poll with Youngkin ahead (not an outlier like that Fox one), this is still an 8-10 point race in McAuliffe’s favor. Virginians didn’t just show up for Joe Biden. Virginia was already medium blue at the very least in pretty much every statewide election in the 2010s