OH: University of Akron - Brown (D) and DeWine (R) tied

[Tender Branson]

Ray C. Bliss Institute of Applied Politics - The University of Akron Poll:

Overall population:

DeWine (R): 36,3%
Brown (D): 35,0%
Other: 3,2%
Undecided: 25,5%

Likely Voters:

DeWine (R): 41,7%
Brown (D): 41,5%
Other: 2,5%
Undecided: 14,3%

This report is based on a survey of a random sample of Ohio adults interviewed by telephone between August 20th and September 29th, 2006 by the Center for Marketing & Opinion Research, LLC of Canton, Ohio. The number of respondents was 1,073 and the overall margin of error for the general public sample is plus or minus 3 percentage points. To assess voter turnout, the report identifies a sub-sample of 477 likely voters, with a margin of error of plus or minus 4.5 percentage points. This measure of likely voters is based on variables associated with voter turnout overall and in recent Ohio gubernatorial elections. Put another way, the survey figures for the general public approximate the level of turnout in the 2004 presidential election in Ohio and the likely voter sub-sample approximates the turnout of the 1998 gubernatorial race in Ohio.

http://www.uakron.edu/bliss/research.php

(go to 2006 General Elections Survey - PDF)

[poughies]

wait how many are likely voters? 477? And the first number is all adults? And 14% undecided?

Interesting polling data..... I would like to see some other ohio polls.... but I'm a little just a little worried.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

wait how many are likely voters? 477? And the first number is all adults? And 14% undecided?

Interesting polling data..... I would like to see some other ohio polls.... but I'm a little just a little worried.

Don't worry. It's a uni poll.

[poughies]

yea true, but the mason-dixon didn't exactly inspire confidence with Brown only +2..... i would have expected to be +4 or +5.....

[Know Your Rights!]

Why is other even included in this?

[Tender Branson]

What makes me wondering in this poll is the long time they took for conducting it. 5 Weeks. A lot can happen in between. I would consider Ohio somewhere between Toss-up and lean Brown right now, but more a toss-up.

[poughies]

I didn't even see the 5 weeks! What is that a joke?

[Conan]

nope

[Deano963]

WAY too many undecideds to be taken seriously....

Not one other poll has had this many people still undecided.

[TheresNoMoney]

The polls on the Ohio race are all over the place lately. Brown is up by as much as +7 and then you have this one as a tie.

[Deano963]

This same poll also had Strickland at 47%.

Not one other poll (with the exception of Zogby Interactive) has shown Strickland under 50% since at least April.

This poll is junk. The only Uni poll in Ohio that is any good is the University of Cincinnatti's poll, which is actually quite accurate and has one of the tightest screen of likely voters of any poll.

[adam]

I'll believe it when I see it from a credible source.

[Downwinder]

The polls on the Ohio race are all over the place lately. Brown is up by as much as +7 and then you have this one as a tie.

Yeah, but this one is trash.  I assume you can safely toss it, and never consider it again.

What would polling would look like in Tennessee or Missouri, if it were conducted over a five weeks in August and September???  And fewer than 100 likely voters were found each week??  Good god. 

[Eraserhead]

Even if they were actually tied:Dewine is an incumbent polling at 41%, Strickland's landslide will have huge coattails and the national/state mood toward Republicans is terrible. I would say Brown is the overwhelming favorite.