NJ (Schoen Cooperman): Murphy +9/+4/+2
Senator Incitatus:
This poll was released last week but not reported on nor posted here. Have seen some discussing the dearth of polling in NJ after the Emerson one, so thought I would fill in the gap.
https://38golu1f1ik01c9tej2um08s-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/10/New-Jersey-2021-Topline-10.15.21-Hill.pdf
Murphy leads across turnout models:
likely voters: 50-41voters who vote in all gubernatorial elections: 49-45voters who are certain to vote: 48-46
Poll was conducted October 9–12 and has a 4.4% MoE on the top line numbers. Notably, the categories are all self-identified. This appears to be their first poll of this race.
Senator Incitatus:
This fits with my ultimate impression that the race will be high single-digits, roughly 54-46.
Matty:
Pretty mediocre for dems
Roll Roons:
I think this is from a Dem firm. Still doubt Jack wins but it's getting uncomfortably close for Murphy. This is closer to Lean D than Safe.
ElectionsGuy:
For a race that no one is talking about and was presumed safe for Democrats, Ciattarelli has gotten a pretty substantive increase in support over the last few months.
Navigation
[0] Message Index
[#] Next page