Canada Federal Representation 2024

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Only 4 more seats will added to the House of Commons
Alberta win gain 3 seats
BC and Ontario will gain 1 seat each
Quebec will lose 1 seat. (First time since 1966, a province will lose seats)

Back in 2013, the number of the seats went from 308 to 338.


https://www.ctvnews.ca/politics/house-of-commons-seats-to-increase-from-338-to-342-as-early-as-2024-1.5624849

Formula:
https://elections.ca/content.aspx?section=res&dir=cir/red/allo&document=index&lang=e

Timeline:
https://www.elections.ca/content.aspx?section=res&dir=cir/red/over&document=index&lang=e

History of Representation
https://redecoupage-federal-redistribution.ca/content.asp?section=info&dir=his/rep&document=p1&lang=e

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It's possible that the GTA could see a gain of more than 1 seat, while another area of Ontario with lower than average population growth could lose a seat.



It might be time to revisit the Representation Formula:

https://elections.ca/content.aspx?section=res&dir=cir/red/allo&document=index&lang=e

Right now Manitoba and Saskatchewan each have 14 ridings, however Manitoba has a population of 200K larger (more than 1 electoral quotient -121K) than Saskatchewan. Should Manitoba (showing  my Manitoba bias) receive one more riding than Saskatchewan ?

If Nova Scotia (with 11 ridings) in the future were to overtake Saskatchewan (14 ridings) in population, the current formula will still give Nova Scotia 11 ridings (10 based on population and 1 based on the Grandfather clause)

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Do we know when we'll be getting the census profiles for the new redistributed ridings?

From the Stats Canada website, they will be available on (Wednesday) November 15th

https://www12.statcan.gc.ca/census-recensement/2021/ref/upcomingreleases-diffusionsavenir-eng.cfm

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Link for the Profiles for the 2023 Representation Order

https://www12.statcan.gc.ca/census-recensement/2021/dp-pd/prof/details/download-telecharger.cfm?Lang=E