Obviously Sinema is not needed for Democrats to hold this seat if the environment is favorable enough for them, but Sinema losing to a progressive challenger would be an absolute gift to the GOP.
You really think so? I think a damaged Sinema with baggage is an easier opponent for Republicans than a progressive Democrat with no baggage.
Right. It might depend to a degree on who the Democrat is; obviously a very radical DSA candidate might struggle too. But I think at this point the DSCC is not going to be on Sinema's side in the primary, and her likely primary opponent isn't going to be some far-lefty but rather someone not too different from Mark Kelly in political alignment. The Republicans are certainly no more likely to beat that candidate in a GE than Sinema.