Most Stunning Senate Result in every election since 1980 (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 28, 2024, 04:30:51 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  Most Stunning Senate Result in every election since 1980 (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Most Stunning Senate Result in every election since 1980  (Read 2125 times)
Vosem
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,618
United States


Political Matrix
E: 8.13, S: -6.09

« on: October 13, 2021, 11:50:31 PM »

The ones I remember:

2020: Collins not just winning, but winning by 9 points
2018: Scott beating Nelson
2016: none were that surprising, but I guess Hassan winning even though McGinty/Feingold, who polled better, lost
2014: Tillis beating Hagan
2012: Heitkamp beating Berg -- most surprising result since I started paying attention
2010: Reid not just winning, but winning by 6 points
2008: none were that surprising, but Stevens coming as close as he did -- he was expected to lose by 20 but came within a point

These were the most surprising on Election Night (or during Election Week for a few of them; AK-Sen 2008 in particular wasn't decided for a few days). For earlier cycles, I can do what would've been most surprising at the start of the cycle, but many of the wackiest results of the 2010s that no one would've predicted a year earlier (like MO-Sen 2012, or either the AL or MA special elections) were accurately forecasted by polling.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.023 seconds with 13 queries.