Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
Posts: 30,303
Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91
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« on: October 14, 2021, 11:43:16 AM » |
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If we're talking about expectations on Election Night or the election cycle as a whole, then 2016 has to be WI-SEN, even if the result was later seen to be in line with the overall kind of night it was. I'd say that the margin of IA-SEN 2014 was also very surprising at the time, it just makes more sense now in the context of other Iowa elections. For 2018, I'd say the closeness of TX-SEN deserves a mention, since many thought it was be a comfortable Cruz win, and that it would easily vote far to the right of IN-SEN and MO-SEN.
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