JFK elected president in 1992 (user search)
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  JFK elected president in 1992 (search mode)
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Author Topic: JFK elected president in 1992  (Read 773 times)
Vice President Christian Man
Christian Man
Junior Chimp
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« on: October 14, 2021, 01:57:18 AM »
« edited: October 14, 2021, 06:01:44 PM by Old School Democrat »

1992 election: These could be the two E.V.'s



Senator John F. Kennedy/Senator George Mitchell: 370 E.V./47% P.V.
President George H.W.Bush/V.P. Dan Quayle: 168 E.V./41% P.V.
Businessman Ross Perot/Admiral James Stockdale: 0 E.V./9% P.V.

1996 election:



V.P. George Mitchell/Governor Bill Clinton (JFK declines to run for re-election): 359 E.V./50% P.V.
Senator Bob Dole/Representative Jack Kemp: 159 E.V./41% P.V.
Businessman Ross Perot/Economist Pat Choate: 0 E.V./5% P.V.

In 2000, incumbent president George Mitchell wins a close re-election following a scandal-free administration, however VP Bill Clinton is replaced by Massachusetts senator John Kerry after he was caught having sexual relations with an intern. Kerry would go on to lose to Texas governor George W. Bush in 2004 who despite winning the popular vote by a simple majority, goes on to be the most unpopular president in American history. He is defeated by Obama in a landslide, although he still manages to get 45% of the vote, nearly double his 25% approval rating.
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Vice President Christian Man
Christian Man
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,516
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.94, S: -2.26

P P P

WWW
« Reply #1 on: October 14, 2021, 03:54:47 PM »

1992 election: These could be the two E.V.'s



Senator John F. Kennedy/Senator George Mitchell: 370 E.V./47% P.V.
President George H.W.Bush/V.P. Dan Quayle: 168 E.V./41% P.V.
Businessman Ross Perot/Admiral James Stockdale: 0 E.V./9% P.V.

1996 election:



V.P. George Mitchell/Governor Bill Clinton (JFK declines to run for re-election): 359 E.V./50% P.V.
Senator Bob Dole/Representative Jack Kemp: 159 E.V./41% P.V.
Businessman Ross Perot/Economist Pat Choate: 0 E.V./5% P.V.

In 2000, incumbent president George Mitchell wins a close re-election following a scandal-free administration, however VP Bill Clinton is replaced by Massachusetts senator John Kerry after he was caught having sexual relations with an intern. Kerry would go on to lose to Texas governor George W. Bush in 2004 who despite winning the popular vote by a simple majority, goes on to be the most unpopular president in American history. He is defeated by Obama in a landslide, although he still manages to get 45% of the vote, nearly double his 25% approval rating.

Interesting.  In this hypothetical, is JFK still the 1st Catholic president when he wins in 1992?  If yes, that explains Louisiana.  If not, I think he would certainly lose LA and FL/TX wouldn't be particularly close.  

I'm guessing he would be but I was projecting TX to be close due to his association with JFK and FL to be close since it's a bellwether even though Clinton didn't win it in 1992. LA has a strong Catholic population so I think he would've won it even if he wasn't' the first Catholic, since 1992 Louisiana was politically a different place from 2020 Louisiana. Kennedy was also close to Terry Sanford which would've explained why NC was close in 1992, while Carter would've stumped hard for him leaving him to win Georgia in 1992.
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