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November 29, 2021, 04:29:40 PM

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2024 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, TJ in Oregon, YE)
  Boca Raton, FL
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Poll
Question: RATE Boca Raton, FL
#1
Safe D
 
#2
Likely D
 
#3
Lean D
 
#4
Tilt D
 
#5
Pure Tossup
 
#6
Tilt R
 
#7
Lean R
 
#8
Likely R
 
#9
Safe R
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 37

Author Topic: Boca Raton, FL  (Read 434 times)
Big Joey
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« on: October 16, 2021, 11:00:58 AM »

Boca Raton is a fast-growing largely suburban city in Southern Palm Beach County that's well-known for its affluence and large Jewish population.



RECENT VOTING HISTORY

2016 Presidential: R+0.19
23,530 (48.35%) Clinton, 23,623 (48.54%) Trump, 1,513 (3.11%) Neither

2018 Gubernatorial: D+1.13
21,884 (50.24%) Gillum, 21,395 (49.11%) DeSantis, 284 (0.65%) Neither

2018 U.S. Senate: D+1.56
22,289 (50.78%) Nelson, 21,600 (49.22%) Scott

2020 Presidential: R+0.50
27,880 (49.35%) Biden, 28,158 (49.85%) Trump, 451 (0.80%) Neither



Poll runs for 300 days
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Forumlurker
Forumlurker161
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« Reply #1 on: October 16, 2021, 11:44:53 AM »

Iím almost always a doomer relative to everyone else but I think this is a real possible flip in 2024 even as an Insurgency candidate wins nationwide.
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SANTA IS A GLOBAL CONSPIRACY!!!
GregTheGreat657
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« Reply #2 on: October 16, 2021, 05:09:31 PM »

I'm surprised that Boca didn't move significantly left in 2020, when consider it is 75% white, 55% with at least a bachelor's degree
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Tekken_Guy
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« Reply #3 on: October 16, 2021, 10:54:18 PM »

I'm surprised that Boca didn't move significantly left in 2020, when consider it is 75% white, 55% with at least a bachelor's degree

I think Bocaís Jews are culturally Israeli. Culturally Israeli Jews are pretty strongly Republican, and Trump did better with them in 2020 than 2016. Culturally American Jews are very Democratic and Trump did worse in 2020 with them.

Also, plenty of retirees here.
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Centrist King Tom Suozzi
Kander2020
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« Reply #4 on: October 16, 2021, 11:13:43 PM »

Tilt D
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Bootes Void
iamaganster123
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« Reply #5 on: October 17, 2021, 04:17:31 PM »

How did the place vote in 2004 2008 and 2016. I also have to imagine that Al Gore I'd the last democrat to win here if not for Obama 08
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Mr. MANDELA BARNES
olawakandi
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« Reply #6 on: October 18, 2021, 11:00:50 AM »

Tilt D
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CentristRepublican
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« Reply #7 on: October 18, 2021, 02:45:25 PM »

Tossup, though the 2016 and 2020 results literally scream tilt Republican.
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #8 on: October 18, 2021, 03:01:48 PM »









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Roll Roons
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« Reply #9 on: October 18, 2021, 03:03:19 PM »

Pure tossup, I guess. I'm very surprised that it voted for Trump twice, if by very tiny margins.
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Mr. MANDELA BARNES
olawakandi
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« Reply #10 on: October 18, 2021, 03:30:33 PM »

I am excited we can win FL, OH and NC

It's not a 304 election it's a 368 EC map without IA😁😁😁😁
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JD Vance For Senate
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« Reply #11 on: October 18, 2021, 03:31:53 PM »

Tilt R since Trump improved and South Florida is trending R. West Palm Beach county where it lies in could flip within the next decade if trends continue. There's plenty of affluent whites plus retirees to make that happen.
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EastOfEden
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« Reply #12 on: October 18, 2021, 04:34:17 PM »

I don't know how you can look at those results and see anything other than Pure Tossup.


More importantly though, who names a city Mouse Mouth?
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Mr. MANDELA BARNES
olawakandi
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« Reply #13 on: October 19, 2021, 03:13:00 PM »

FL is gonna be the surprise of 2022, it's gonna go D
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Forumlurker
Forumlurker161
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« Reply #14 on: October 19, 2021, 10:22:29 PM »

FL is gonna be the surprise of 2022, it's gonna go D
That would be very Florida.
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