Who wins Texas with this 2024 map?

[Leroy McPherson fan]

Which party wins Texas with this 2024 map?

[OSR stands with Israel]

Hmm I think looking at RGV , The Republican  probably took NV in this case but I’d like to see the margins as well . Though Collin isn’t good news for Maricopa and could mean really bad news for the Philli Burbs in which case Biden would get re-elected .

[Leroy McPherson fan]

Hmm I think looking at RGV , The Republican  probably took NV in this case but I’d like to see the margins as well .

I was talking about who wins Texas, not the election as a whole.

Sorry bout the confusion.

[OSR stands with Israel]

Hmm I think looking at RGV , The Republican  probably took NV in this case but I’d like to see the margins as well .

I was talking about who wins Texas, not the election as a whole.

Sorry bout the confusion.

Well it would be all about margins but I’d guess R+3.5

[Pericles]

Democrats need to flip Denton to win, especially because the trend is so strong that it's easier than the state. The suburban margins in a few counties matter a lot more than the low population RGV.

[AGA]

Probably Republicans since Denton didn't flip.

[Xing]

Republicans, since that big of a swing in South Texas (Maverick flipping) would make the math nearly impossible for Democrats, even if they flip Collin and come very close in Denton. I'd say it's about a 3-point win for Republicans. Don't think this necessarily means NV is flipping, though, since Las Vegas isn't comparable to the RGV.

[Roll Roons]

Republican hold. One thing people haven't mentioned - if the RGV is indicative of a broader rightward trend among Hispanics, it probably means Democrats are getting underwhelming numbers out of Houston.