Senators in 2037

[Schiff for Senate]

Which current members of the Senate do you think will still be in office on January 4, 2037?

For starters I'd remove Blunt, Shelby, Toomey, Burr and Portman, as those 5 Republicans have already announced they aren't seeking reelection in 2022. As for the other 5 GOP senators who voted for conviction, there's Collins, Murkowski, Cassidy, Sasse and Romney. I think the only one from here who we can be certain will lose is Cassidy and Collins (Collins because I think she'll have retired by then). From there, I'd remove Leahy, Grassley, and Feinstein since they will all have probably retired/died by then (all are in their 80's already and 2037 is sixteen years away).

Who do you think is safe to say will be in office in 2037 and won't be in office in 2037? (If you don't want to write their names you can use maps - one map for senior senators and the other for junior senators, with those who you think will be in office in one colour and those you think won't be in another.)

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We really gonna go that far into the Future, 2022/ is make or break for D's if we get 52 seats plus H we get DC Statehood if we fail Rs are most likely to capture Congress in 2024

[mtvoter]

Jon Tester has just been re-elected to his sixth term, defeating Michael Daines by double digits due to a net of 70k votes in Missoula that can't be overcome.

[NewYorkExpress]

Alabama: Tommy Tuberville, Mo Brooks
Alaska: Dan Sullivan, Kelly Tshibaka
Arizona: Mark Kelly, Greg Stanton
Arkansas: John Boozman, Sarah Huckabee Sanders
California: Alex Padilla, Hilda Solis
Colorado: Michael Bennet, Andrew Romanoff
Connecticut: Chris Murphy, Jahana Hayes
Delaware: Chris Coons, Lisa Blunt Rochester
Florida: Marco Rubio, Maria Elvira Salazar
Georgia: Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock
Hawaii: Brian Schatz, Tulsi Gabbard
Idaho: Mike Crapo, Brad Little
Indiana: Todd Young, Eric Holcomb
Illinois: Tammy Duckworth, Malia Obama
Iowa: Joni Ernst, Kim Reynolds
Kansas: Jerry Moran, Roger Marshall
Kentucky: Rand Paul, Daniel Cameron
Louisiana: Bill Cassidy, John Kennedy
Maine: Hannah Pingree,Troy Dale Jackson
Maryland: Chris Van Hollen, Brandon Scott
Massachusetts: Ayanna Pressley, Michelle Wu
Michigan: Debbie Stabenow, Gary Peters
Minnesota: Tina Smith, Ilhan Omar
Mississippi: Roger Wicker, Cindy Hyde-Smith
Missouri: Josh Hawley, Eric Schmitt
Montana: Steve Daines, Steve Daines
Nebraska: Deb Fischer, Jeff Fortenberry
Nevada: Adam Laxalt, Brian Sandoval
New Hampshire: Maggie Hassan, Chris Sununnu
New Jersey: Cory Booker, Mikie Sherrill
New Mexico: Martin Heinrich, Ben Ray Lujan
New York: Kirsten Gillibrand, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
North Carolina: Ted Budd, Thom Tillis
North Dakota: John Hoeven, Kevin Cramer
Ohio: Jim Jordan, Josh Mandel
Oklahoma: James Lankford, Kevin Sitt
Oregon: Jeff Merkely, Ted Wheeler
Pennsylvania: Conor Lamb, Brian Fitzpatrick
Rhode Island: Jack Reed, Sheldon Whitehouse
South Carolina: Tim Scott, Nikki Haley
South Dakota: John Thune, Mike Rounds
Tennessee: Marsha Blackburn, William Hagerty
Texas: John Cornyn, Joaquin Castro
Utah: Mike Lee, Curt Bramble
Vermont: T.J Donovan, Tim Ashe
Virginia: Mark Warner, Tim Kaine
Washington: Patty Murray, Maria Cantwell
West Virginia: Shelly Moore Capito, Alex Mooney
Wisconsin: Ron Johnson, Mike Gallagher
Wyoming: John Barasso, Cynthia Lummis

[Drew]

To give us a ballpark expectation, there are 20 Senators today that were there in 2005, 16 years prior.  I came up with a list of 19 of today's Senators that I'm guessing will be around 16 years from now.  Oddly, I only had one Class I Senator.  Class maps of these Senators posted below:

Class I:



Class II:



Class III:

[Roll Roons]

At least one currently Safe R state will have a Democratic Senator and at least one currently Safe D state will have a Republican Senator.

[Pericles]

These are just guesses but here goes. Michael Bennet-he's relatively young, unlikely to lose a primary, not charismatic enough to win a presidential nomination (so his clear ambition for it is pretty meaningless) and he should be pretty safe in the general election (maybe an upset could happen if 2022 is a huge wave but that still feels very unlikely). Chris Murphy similarly is in a safe state, safe primary, young, and unlikely to be President (I'd rate his chances slightly higher than Bennet's though). Brian Schatz is another one, and he seems even less likely to be on a presidential ticket. Todd Young is in the same position for Republicans. Rand Paul doesn't look like he's going anywhere. Steve Daines actually, he's unlikely to have as tough of a general election as he did last year again (though he may be vulnerable in a Republican midterm), he's not that old and he's not going to be on a presidential ticket. New Mexico is safe enough-it didn't trend R-and Heinrich and Ray Lujan both young enough that they might still be around. Gillibrand looks like she's in a great position and her presidential bid was such a failure that she's unlikely to move upwards. Maybe Hoeven and Cramer, but they're in their 60s so they could retire just before 2037. James Lankford perhaps. Jeff Merkley is possible but he's a bit older and longer serving already. I feel like Lindsey Graham might try be a lifer, but he could be beatable by 2032. Thune appears to be angling to succeed McConnell. Bill Hagerty is certainly safe and as a new Senator he could try stay for a while. Mike Lee is certainly young enough to pull it off and fits all the other criteria, but it's hard to say if Utah will still be safe by 2034. Maybe Tim Kaine, he's not ending up on a presidential ticket again lol, though he could be a little bit too old. Maria Cantwell has been there a long time and she's still only 64 (and looking healthy), but I doubt she'll go the full length (2036 could be a good retirement year for her). West Virginia seems to have a tradition of long-serving Senators so maybe even though she's 67 Moore Capito will stay. My guess is just over a dozen will still be there.

[Schiff for Senate]

Class II:



Class III:

I don't think it's a great idea to assume that Ossoff and Warnock will still be in offce in 2037. One of them might well lose reelection, and if nothing else, who knows, Warnock may voluntarily retire in 2036.

[Schiff for Senate]

Alabama: Tommy Tuberville, Mo Brooks
Alaska: Dan Sullivan, Kelly Tshibaka
Arizona: Mark Kelly, Greg Stanton
Arkansas: John Boozman, Sarah Huckabee Sanders
California: Alex Padilla, Hilda Solis
Colorado: Michael Bennet, Andrew Romanoff
Connecticut: Chris Murphy, Jahana Hayes
Delaware: Chris Coons, Lisa Blunt Rochester
Florida: Marco Rubio, Maria Elvira Salazar
Georgia: Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock
Hawaii: Brian Schatz, Tulsi Gabbard
Idaho: Mike Crapo, Brad Little
Indiana: Todd Young, Eric Holcomb
Illinois: Tammy Duckworth, Malia Obama
Iowa: Joni Ernst, Kim Reynolds
Kansas: Jerry Moran, Roger Marshall
Kentucky: Rand Paul, Daniel Cameron
Louisiana: Bill Cassidy, John Kennedy
Maine: Hannah Pingree,Troy Dale Jackson
Maryland: Chris Van Hollen, Brandon Scott
Massachusetts: Ayanna Pressley, Michelle Wu
Michigan: Debbie Stabenow, Gary Peters
Minnesota: Tina Smith, Ilhan Omar
Mississippi: Roger Wicker, Cindy Hyde-Smith
Missouri: Josh Hawley, Eric Schmitt
Montana: Steve Daines, Steve Daines
Nebraska: Deb Fischer, Jeff Fortenberry
Nevada: Adam Laxalt, Brian Sandoval
New Hampshire: Maggie Hassan, Chris Sununnu
New Jersey: Cory Booker, Mikie Sherrill
New Mexico: Martin Heinrich, Ben Ray Lujan
New York: Kirsten Gillibrand, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
North Carolina: Ted Budd, Thom Tillis
North Dakota: John Hoeven, Kevin Cramer
Ohio: Jim Jordan, Josh Mandel
Oklahoma: James Lankford, Kevin Sitt
Oregon: Jeff Merkely, Ted Wheeler
Pennsylvania: Conor Lamb, Brian Fitzpatrick
Rhode Island: Jack Reed, Sheldon Whitehouse
South Carolina: Tim Scott, Nikki Haley
South Dakota: John Thune, Mike Rounds
Tennessee: Marsha Blackburn, William Hagerty
Texas: John Cornyn, Joaquin Castro
Utah: Mike Lee, Curt Bramble
Vermont: T.J Donovan, Tim Ashe
Virginia: Mark Warner, Tim Kaine
Washington: Patty Murray, Maria Cantwell
West Virginia: Shelly Moore Capito, Alex Mooney
Wisconsin: Ron Johnson, Mike Gallagher
Wyoming: John Barasso, Cynthia Lummis

Technically, my question was which current senators will still be in office after the 2036 elections. You decided to guess on all 100 senators, but I disagree with some of these quite strongly. For starters, I can't see Omar winning a statewide race; generally, it's someone more moderate like McCollum (though not her itself, necessarily) who'd be much likelier to win the nomination. Similar thing in NY with AOC though AOC is more likely to make it to the senate than Omar. Also, actually predicting all 100 senators in 2037 is impossible, since there will definitely be political newcomers between now and 2037 who win a senate seat. For instance for now it could just be some obscure nobody who, say, wins a state house seat in 2026 (five years from now), is elected to the House in 2030, and then to the Senate in 2036. Or something like that. A lot of these are believable, but a lot of the senators in 2037 will be people we know absolutely nothing about right now. Did anyone on the forum know who Tommy Tuberville was back in 2017? Not really. We would probably have predicted that some representative like Byrne is in office right now, not a random football coach. Now he's a senator. Returning back to specifics I think Barasso in WY will have retired by 2037. Same for Johnson; he might retire in 2022 itself and if he is chooses to run he might lose reelection. Mooney in WV probably is going down; his seat might be the one killed in redistricting (since it's in the central third of WV), and either way, he's unpopular and disliked even by some Republicans. McKinley and Miller are much likelier options that way. Cantwell and Murray in WA have been in office for a while; one or both will likely leave office by 2037. Warner in VA will likely also retire by 2036, and maybe Kaine as well (though Warner is likelier to retire). Ditto for Cornyn in TX. In SC I don't think Haley will run for the senate and if she does, she loses in the primaries. I agree with OH and even PA seems like an interesting possibility. In OK I guess Stitt winning isn't impossible but I don't think he'll win a senate seat. I really disagree with NV. Sandoval is a relic of a an era in the GOP long past; he won't make it in a Republican primary at this point or after. In MI Stabenaw will probably retire in 2036 and probably earlier than that, maybe 2030. In LA Cassidy will not make it barring a miracle (the Trumpish Republicans are split among several candidates). Lastly, Malia Obama isn't running for office at all; not all first families are like the Trumps and Bushes. That sounds more like wishcasting than predicting (no offense). None of the Obamas except Barack (and even he's done now) have ever been interested in political office.

[Roll Roons]

Also there will probably be a number of Senators who are completely unknown today. There might even be one or two who haven't even graduated from high school.

[MargieCat]

Texas: John Cornyn, Joaquin Castro

Thank you for the upgrade!

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Hopefully, this is the map after we get DC and/or PR Statehood

Rs think we can't win OH, NC, WI, and FL in a Pandemic Recession, news Flash we won them in Great Recession in 2008/12 with Biden as Veeo to Obama


OH, WI, FL NC Doesn't belong to Ra, you Rs need to stop saying that but MO, IA and TX belong to you guys

[Coldstream]

Alabama: Tommy Tuberville, Mo Brooks
Alaska: Dan Sullivan, Kelly Tshibaka
Arizona: Mark Kelly, Greg Stanton
Arkansas: John Boozman, Sarah Huckabee Sanders
California: Alex Padilla, Hilda Solis
Colorado: Michael Bennet, Andrew Romanoff
Connecticut: Chris Murphy, Jahana Hayes
Delaware: Chris Coons, Lisa Blunt Rochester
Florida: Marco Rubio, Maria Elvira Salazar
Georgia: Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock
Hawaii: Brian Schatz, Tulsi Gabbard
Idaho: Mike Crapo, Brad Little
Indiana: Todd Young, Eric Holcomb
Illinois: Tammy Duckworth, Malia Obama
Iowa: Joni Ernst, Kim Reynolds
Kansas: Jerry Moran, Roger Marshall
Kentucky: Rand Paul, Daniel Cameron
Louisiana: Bill Cassidy, John Kennedy
Maine: Hannah Pingree,Troy Dale Jackson
Maryland: Chris Van Hollen, Brandon Scott
Massachusetts: Ayanna Pressley, Michelle Wu
Michigan: Debbie Stabenow, Gary Peters
Minnesota: Tina Smith, Ilhan Omar
Mississippi: Roger Wicker, Cindy Hyde-Smith
Missouri: Josh Hawley, Eric Schmitt
Montana: Steve Daines, Steve Daines
Nebraska: Deb Fischer, Jeff Fortenberry
Nevada: Adam Laxalt, Brian Sandoval
New Hampshire: Maggie Hassan, Chris Sununnu
New Jersey: Cory Booker, Mikie Sherrill
New Mexico: Martin Heinrich, Ben Ray Lujan
New York: Kirsten Gillibrand, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
North Carolina: Ted Budd, Thom Tillis
North Dakota: John Hoeven, Kevin Cramer
Ohio: Jim Jordan, Josh Mandel
Oklahoma: James Lankford, Kevin Sitt
Oregon: Jeff Merkely, Ted Wheeler
Pennsylvania: Conor Lamb, Brian Fitzpatrick
Rhode Island: Jack Reed, Sheldon Whitehouse
South Carolina: Tim Scott, Nikki Haley
South Dakota: John Thune, Mike Rounds
Tennessee: Marsha Blackburn, William Hagerty
Texas: John Cornyn, Joaquin Castro
Utah: Mike Lee, Curt Bramble
Vermont: T.J Donovan, Tim Ashe
Virginia: Mark Warner, Tim Kaine
Washington: Patty Murray, Maria Cantwell
West Virginia: Shelly Moore Capito, Alex Mooney
Wisconsin: Ron Johnson, Mike Gallagher
Wyoming: John Barasso, Cynthia Lummis

If Thom Tillis is still a senator at 77 then the NCDP needs to disband.

[progressive85]

Chuck Grassley and Patrick Leahy will still be there...they'll be hooked up to oxygen tanks and being fed special Walt Disney juice to keep them up in case there's a cloture vote, but they'll be there... lounging in the Strom Thurmond Senate Senior Living Center.

Actually come to think of it, I think our current Senate is the least distinguished in terms of long-time senators.  A lot of famous names but not a lot of actually prolific senators based on what they have accomplished. 

Some dudes and gals looking in the mirror every morning and seeing the future POTUS.

Some of them are just there because hey, they were loaded and now they get all the perks and glory of being a U.S. Senator, but their hearts aren't really in it.

Very few towering people the way the 20th century Senates were, but then again those Senates were much more egalitarian than today's - which seems like an exclusive country club of 100 wealthy elitist out-of-touch people rather than anything remotely resembling a small-d democratic deliberate body.

[😥]

From the current Senators I think still will be there

In order of seniority:
1. Maria Cantwell (she may retire in 2036, but I think she will stay until 2042)
2. Lindsey Graham (he wouldn't leave Senate without dying or losing reelection, both of which I doubt)
3. Bob Casey Jr. (see Maria Cantwell)
4. Amy Klobuchar (see Maria Cantwell)
5. Michael Bennet (he's young enough to stay and Colorado is blue enough for him to stay)
6. Kirtsen Gillibrand (she's young and she's from New York)
7. Chris Coons (this seat is his until his death or retirement, which probably won't occur before 2036)
8. Rand Paul (he won't be too old and he's from Kentucky)
9. Mike Lee (he is also relatively young)
10. Brian Schatz
11. Tim Scott
12. Chris Murphy
13. Martin Heinrich
14. Cory Booker
15. James Lankford
16. Tom Cotton
17. Steve Daines
18. Joni Ernst
19. Ben Sasse (only threat for him is 2026 primary)
20. Todd Young
21. Tammy Duckworth
22. Kevin Cramer
23. Josh Hawley
24. Mark Kelly (if he survives 2022)
25. Ben Ray Lujan
26. Bill Hagerty
27. Alex Padilla
28. Jon Ossoff
29. Raphael Warnock (if he survives 2022)

[MT Treasurer]

Jon Tester (D-MT, until 2048) and Steve Daines (R-MT, until 2050)

I’m not going to speculate on any others (predicting into 2037 is a little ridiculous), but those are the ones I’m sure about.

Jon Tester has just been re-elected to his sixth term, defeating Michael Daines by double digits due to a net of 70k votes in Missoula that can't be overcome.

I mean, I agree completely, but then MT Democrats will predictably overinterpret Tester's showing in Missoula and Daines will beat Shon Tester's cousin in 2038 in large part because he dramatically narrowed the gap in Missoula to only 30k because of his big tech connections, his bipartisan pork-barrel bills promoting Missoula as the leading Rocky Mountains city for human space travel, his bipartisan efforts to expand sustainable, autonomous, on-demand transportation, and his engaging in traditional retail politics at Missoula Fairgrounds. He will win statewide by 3.5 points, cementing an almost poetic, chiastic era in which Daines now routinely wins by Tester 2006-2024 margins and Tester routinely wins by Daines 2014-2026 margins.

Obviously the environment will greatly help Daines as well (a Democrat will be President that year after a D win in 2024, R wins in 2028/2032, and a D win in 2036).

Montana: Steve Daines, Steve Daines

Apparently Steve Daines told Montana Republicans to clone him because he was the only Republican capable of beating Tester. Another genius move from Daines — I’m so tired of all the winning.

Michigan: Debbie Stabenow, Gary Peters
New Hampshire: Maggie Hassan, Chris Sununnu

lol

[Schiff for Senate]

Also there will probably be a number of Senators who are completely unknown today. There might even be one or two who haven't even graduated from high school.

Yeah, that was my point in a previous post:

Also, actually predicting all 100 senators in 2037 is impossible, since there will definitely be political newcomers between now and 2037 who win a senate seat. For instance for now it could just be some obscure nobody who, say, wins a state house seat in 2026 (five years from now), is elected to the House in 2030, and then to the Senate in 2036. Or something like that. A lot of these are believable, but a lot of the senators in 2037 will be people we know absolutely nothing about right now. Did anyone on the forum know who Tommy Tuberville was back in 2017? Not really. We would probably have predicted that some representative like Byrne is in office right now, not a random football coach. Now he's a senator.

Maybe we can predict all 100 senators in 2023 and 2025, but going farther than that is futile and you are bound to make errors.

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

I don't see how Hawley could ever lose apart from a national realignment

[NewYorkExpress]

I don't see how Hawley could ever lose apart from a national realignment

Hawley could end up as President, or in a Republican Administration some time before 2037.

[Calthrina950]

Bennet, Schatz, Heinrich, Lujan, Hawley (assuming he doesn't run for some higher office), Young, Ossoff, Rubio, and Cotton are the ones that immediately come to mind for me. It's also possible that Gillibrand, Klobuchar, Van Hollen, Thune, Rounds, and Cantwell will still be in the Senate as well by that time. Lankford and Hagerty probably will be as well. That gives us seventeen names.

[Vosem]

Which current members of the Senate do you think will still be in office on January 4, 2037?

January 4, 2037, will be 5,564 days after you made this post (on October 11, 2021). 5,564 days before October 11, 2021, was July 18, 2006. 22 Senators are still in office from that date. Here they are with their seniority ranks from 2006:

7. Patrick Leahy (D-VT)
16. Chuck Grassley (R-IA)
21. Mitch McConnell (R-KY)
24. Richard Shelby (R-AL)
36. Dianne Feinstein (D-CA)
41. Patty Murray (D-WA)
44. Jim Inhofe (R-OK)
51. Ron Wyden (D-OR)
54. Dick Durbin (D-IL)
57. Jack Reed (D-RI)
62. Susan Collins (R-ME)
64. Chuck Schumer (D-NY)
66. Mike Crapo (R-ID)
72. Tom Carper (D-DE)
73. Debbie Stabenow (D-MI)
76. Maria Cantwell (D-WA)
81. John Cornyn (R-TX)
82. Lisa Murkowski (R-AK)
85. Lindsey Graham (R-SC)
92. Richard Burr (R-NC)
94. John Thune (R-SD)
100. Bob Menendez (D-NJ)

If we assume the 22 Senators with the same seniority rankings today are the ones who'll be around in 2037 (which I say pretty facetiously, although the distribution through the seniority rankings should be similar to this), then the following 22 Senators will still be around in 2037:

7. Jim Inhofe (R-OK)
16. Maria Cantwell (D-WA)
21. John Thune (R-SD)
24. Bernie Sanders (I-VT)
36. Michael Bennet (D-CO)
41. Jerry Moran (R-KS)
44. Pat Toomey (R-PA)
51. Brian Schatz (D-HI)
54. Chris Murphy (D-CT)
57. Angus King (I-ME)
62. Ed Markey (D-MA)
64. Shelley Moore-Capito (R-WV)
66. Bill Cassidy (R-LA)
72. Joni Ernst (R-IA)
73. Ben Sasse (R-NE)
76. Todd Young (R-IN)
81. Tina Smith (D-MN)
82. Cindy Hyde-Smith (R-MS)
85. Kevin Cramer (R-ND)
92. Ben Ray Lujan (D-NM)
94. Roger Marshall (R-KS)
100. Raphael Warnock (D-GA)

Probably not too likely to be the real list -- obviously Toomey is retiring in 2022, and Inhofe has said he's retiring in 2026. Several more of these people seem really vulnerable in their next campaigns (true at least for Cassidy/Sasse/Warnock). Several more will be really old by then, though this list doesn't ponder anyone breaking Thurmond's record (though Sanders and Markey will be >90 by then). This list also has some weird exclusions -- hard to imagine Cotton not still being there, or Ossoff not still being in office if Warnock is.

But this is the list I'd start with, I think.

[brucejoel99]

Patty Murray has been the most senior member of the Senate since Pat Leahy's 2029 retirement, while Mike Crapo is PPT.

[MATTROSE94]

I know for sure that Adam Laxalt, Mo Brooks, Tommy Tuberville, Chris Sununu, Dan Rodimer, Susan Collins, JD Vance, Jim Jordan, Mark Brnovich, Alex Padilla, Jon Ossoff, Cory Booker, Kristen Gillibrand, Krysten Sinema, Chris Murphy, Joni Ernst, Ben Sasse, Scott Fitzgerald, and Scott Perry will all still be in the Senate in 2037

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Alabama: Tommy Tuberville, Mo Brooks
Alaska: Dan Sullivan, Kelly Tshibaka
Arizona: Mark Kelly, Greg Stanton
Arkansas: John Boozman, Sarah Huckabee Sanders
California: Alex Padilla, Hilda Solis
Colorado: Michael Bennet, Andrew Romanoff
Connecticut: Chris Murphy, Jahana Hayes
Delaware: Chris Coons, Lisa Blunt Rochester
Florida: Marco Rubio, Maria Elvira Salazar
Georgia: Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock
Hawaii: Brian Schatz, Tulsi Gabbard
Idaho: Mike Crapo, Brad Little
Indiana: Todd Young, Eric Holcomb
Illinois: Tammy Duckworth, Malia Obama
Iowa: Joni Ernst, Kim Reynolds
Kansas: Jerry Moran, Roger Marshall
Kentucky: Rand Paul, Daniel Cameron
Louisiana: Bill Cassidy, John Kennedy
Maine: Hannah Pingree,Troy Dale Jackson
Maryland: Chris Van Hollen, Brandon Scott
Massachusetts: Ayanna Pressley, Michelle Wu
Michigan: Debbie Stabenow, Gary Peters
Minnesota: Tina Smith, Ilhan Omar
Mississippi: Roger Wicker, Cindy Hyde-Smith
Missouri: Josh Hawley, Eric Schmitt
Montana: Steve Daines, Steve Daines
Nebraska: Deb Fischer, Jeff Fortenberry
Nevada: Adam Laxalt, Brian Sandoval
New Hampshire: Maggie Hassan, Chris Sununnu
New Jersey: Cory Booker, Mikie Sherrill
New Mexico: Martin Heinrich, Ben Ray Lujan
New York: Kirsten Gillibrand, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
North Carolina: Ted Budd, Thom Tillis
North Dakota: John Hoeven, Kevin Cramer
Ohio: Jim Jordan, Josh Mandel
Oklahoma: James Lankford, Kevin Sitt
Oregon: Jeff Merkely, Ted Wheeler
Pennsylvania: Conor Lamb, Brian Fitzpatrick
Rhode Island: Jack Reed, Sheldon Whitehouse
South Carolina: Tim Scott, Nikki Haley
South Dakota: John Thune, Mike Rounds
Tennessee: Marsha Blackburn, William Hagerty
Texas: John Cornyn, Joaquin Castro
Utah: Mike Lee, Curt Bramble
Vermont: T.J Donovan, Tim Ashe
Virginia: Mark Warner, Tim Kaine
Washington: Patty Murray, Maria Cantwell
West Virginia: Shelly Moore Capito, Alex Mooney
Wisconsin: Ron Johnson, Mike Gallagher
Wyoming: John Barasso, Cynthia Lummis

Technically, my question was which current senators will still be in office after the 2036 elections. You decided to guess on all 100 senators, but I disagree with some of these quite strongly. For starters, I can't see Omar winning a statewide race; generally, it's someone more moderate like McCollum (though not her itself, necessarily) who'd be much likelier to win the nomination. Similar thing in NY with AOC though AOC is more likely to make it to the senate than Omar. Also, actually predicting all 100 senators in 2037 is impossible, since there will definitely be political newcomers between now and 2037 who win a senate seat. For instance for now it could just be some obscure nobody who, say, wins a state house seat in 2026 (five years from now), is elected to the House in 2030, and then to the Senate in 2036. Or something like that. A lot of these are believable, but a lot of the senators in 2037 will be people we know absolutely nothing about right now. Did anyone on the forum know who Tommy Tuberville was back in 2017? Not really. We would probably have predicted that some representative like Byrne is in office right now, not a random football coach. Now he's a senator. Returning back to specifics I think Barasso in WY will have retired by 2037. Same for Johnson; he might retire in 2022 itself and if he is chooses to run he might lose reelection. Mooney in WV probably is going down; his seat might be the one killed in redistricting (since it's in the central third of WV), and either way, he's unpopular and disliked even by some Republicans. McKinley and Miller are much likelier options that way. Cantwell and Murray in WA have been in office for a while; one or both will likely leave office by 2037. Warner in VA will likely also retire by 2036, and maybe Kaine as well (though Warner is likelier to retire). Ditto for Cornyn in TX. In SC I don't think Haley will run for the senate and if she does, she loses in the primaries. I agree with OH and even PA seems like an interesting possibility. In OK I guess Stitt winning isn't impossible but I don't think he'll win a senate seat. I really disagree with NV. Sandoval is a relic of a an era in the GOP long past; he won't make it in a Republican primary at this point or after. In MI Stabenaw will probably retire in 2036 and probably earlier than that, maybe 2030. In LA Cassidy will not make it barring a miracle (the Trumpish Republicans are split among several candidates). Lastly, Malia Obama isn't running for office at all; not all first families are like the Trumps and Bushes. That sounds more like wishcasting than predicting (no offense). None of the Obamas except Barack (and even he's done now) have ever been interested in political office.

Point taken, but, if you're a football fan, you definitely knew who Tommy Tuberville was in 2017.

[Schiff for Senate]

Alabama: Tommy Tuberville, Mo Brooks
Alaska: Dan Sullivan, Kelly Tshibaka
Arizona: Mark Kelly, Greg Stanton
Arkansas: John Boozman, Sarah Huckabee Sanders
California: Alex Padilla, Hilda Solis
Colorado: Michael Bennet, Andrew Romanoff
Connecticut: Chris Murphy, Jahana Hayes
Delaware: Chris Coons, Lisa Blunt Rochester
Florida: Marco Rubio, Maria Elvira Salazar
Georgia: Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock
Hawaii: Brian Schatz, Tulsi Gabbard
Idaho: Mike Crapo, Brad Little
Indiana: Todd Young, Eric Holcomb
Illinois: Tammy Duckworth, Malia Obama
Iowa: Joni Ernst, Kim Reynolds
Kansas: Jerry Moran, Roger Marshall
Kentucky: Rand Paul, Daniel Cameron
Louisiana: Bill Cassidy, John Kennedy
Maine: Hannah Pingree,Troy Dale Jackson
Maryland: Chris Van Hollen, Brandon Scott
Massachusetts: Ayanna Pressley, Michelle Wu
Michigan: Debbie Stabenow, Gary Peters
Minnesota: Tina Smith, Ilhan Omar
Mississippi: Roger Wicker, Cindy Hyde-Smith
Missouri: Josh Hawley, Eric Schmitt
Montana: Steve Daines, Steve Daines
Nebraska: Deb Fischer, Jeff Fortenberry
Nevada: Adam Laxalt, Brian Sandoval
New Hampshire: Maggie Hassan, Chris Sununnu
New Jersey: Cory Booker, Mikie Sherrill
New Mexico: Martin Heinrich, Ben Ray Lujan
New York: Kirsten Gillibrand, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
North Carolina: Ted Budd, Thom Tillis
North Dakota: John Hoeven, Kevin Cramer
Ohio: Jim Jordan, Josh Mandel
Oklahoma: James Lankford, Kevin Sitt
Oregon: Jeff Merkely, Ted Wheeler
Pennsylvania: Conor Lamb, Brian Fitzpatrick
Rhode Island: Jack Reed, Sheldon Whitehouse
South Carolina: Tim Scott, Nikki Haley
South Dakota: John Thune, Mike Rounds
Tennessee: Marsha Blackburn, William Hagerty
Texas: John Cornyn, Joaquin Castro
Utah: Mike Lee, Curt Bramble
Vermont: T.J Donovan, Tim Ashe
Virginia: Mark Warner, Tim Kaine
Washington: Patty Murray, Maria Cantwell
West Virginia: Shelly Moore Capito, Alex Mooney
Wisconsin: Ron Johnson, Mike Gallagher
Wyoming: John Barasso, Cynthia Lummis

Technically, my question was which current senators will still be in office after the 2036 elections. You decided to guess on all 100 senators, but I disagree with some of these quite strongly. For starters, I can't see Omar winning a statewide race; generally, it's someone more moderate like McCollum (though not her itself, necessarily) who'd be much likelier to win the nomination. Similar thing in NY with AOC though AOC is more likely to make it to the senate than Omar. Also, actually predicting all 100 senators in 2037 is impossible, since there will definitely be political newcomers between now and 2037 who win a senate seat. For instance for now it could just be some obscure nobody who, say, wins a state house seat in 2026 (five years from now), is elected to the House in 2030, and then to the Senate in 2036. Or something like that. A lot of these are believable, but a lot of the senators in 2037 will be people we know absolutely nothing about right now. Did anyone on the forum know who Tommy Tuberville was back in 2017? Not really. We would probably have predicted that some representative like Byrne is in office right now, not a random football coach. Now he's a senator. Returning back to specifics I think Barasso in WY will have retired by 2037. Same for Johnson; he might retire in 2022 itself and if he is chooses to run he might lose reelection. Mooney in WV probably is going down; his seat might be the one killed in redistricting (since it's in the central third of WV), and either way, he's unpopular and disliked even by some Republicans. McKinley and Miller are much likelier options that way. Cantwell and Murray in WA have been in office for a while; one or both will likely leave office by 2037. Warner in VA will likely also retire by 2036, and maybe Kaine as well (though Warner is likelier to retire). Ditto for Cornyn in TX. In SC I don't think Haley will run for the senate and if she does, she loses in the primaries. I agree with OH and even PA seems like an interesting possibility. In OK I guess Stitt winning isn't impossible but I don't think he'll win a senate seat. I really disagree with NV. Sandoval is a relic of a an era in the GOP long past; he won't make it in a Republican primary at this point or after. In MI Stabenaw will probably retire in 2036 and probably earlier than that, maybe 2030. In LA Cassidy will not make it barring a miracle (the Trumpish Republicans are split among several candidates). Lastly, Malia Obama isn't running for office at all; not all first families are like the Trumps and Bushes. That sounds more like wishcasting than predicting (no offense). None of the Obamas except Barack (and even he's done now) have ever been interested in political office.

Point taken, but, if you're a football fan, you definitely knew who Tommy Tuberville was in 2017.

Well, this is a political forum, not a football-related one. And if some people knew who Tuberville was, I doubt they ever considered him AL's next senator. (And the fact that Tuberville's a football coach just further lowers my opinion of him since I loathe that sport.)