Which states have clear R trends? Clear D trends? Countervailing trends? (user search)
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  Which states have clear R trends? Clear D trends? Countervailing trends? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Which states have clear R trends? Clear D trends? Countervailing trends?  (Read 788 times)
progressive85
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,354
United States
« on: October 12, 2021, 07:26:57 PM »

Dark horses to watch out for, R to D:

Alaska - could be barely winnable for the right kind of Democrat in a huge landslide, but it isn't as R as it once was.  I get a crunchy enviro granola hippie vibe from some of the Dems up there, and the Dem Party in Alaska isn't that bad considering...

Kansas - watch the eastern part of the state in the next 20 years, KS has been Republican for  a very, very long time... but they've had this weird thing with the moderate Goppers and the conservative Goppers (who are far right) which has allowed two D women (Sebelius and Kelly) to become Governor.  There might be a backlash in KS to the Brownback style of Conservatism, but we'll see it more in a huge Dem landslide than any other year.

South Carolina - It is not exactly Lindseyland.  A sizable amount of South Carolinians continuously vote against their senior Senator.  For such a solid R state, it has a very high ceiling for the state's Democratic Party.  In 2018, the Democratic candidate almost received 46% of the vote, that's 4% away from 50% and then you need just one more vote.  I would not be surprised if SC is going to get pretty darn close.
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