Arizona Iced Tea
Minute Maid Juice
Junior Chimp
Posts: 5,778
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« on: October 09, 2021, 11:49:44 PM » |
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Wisconsin has a pretty obvious R trend. Dems still have tons of room to fall in the dirftless which is trending R faster than the WOW area is trending D. I think this is the next Ohio in the sense that it used to be a purple state but shifts more Republican.
Pennsylvania has a countervailing trend with rural parts, and the eastern parts of the state (Scranton, and Luzerne County) are shifting R. However, Philadelphia's suburbs are shifting Dem which will keep that state purple. I think Pennsylvania is also the next Ohio, but because it will probably vote for the winner of every election like Ohio used to.
Michigan is a mix of the two where it does have an R shift, but it's weaker than Wisconsin. Detroit is depopulating which is good for Rs, but its suburban areas and Lansing are shifting Dem which cancels that out. As rural Michigan continues to shift Republican, and former Democratic strongholds continue the switch to R, the state will vote Republican narrowly soon.
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