How would the previous poster do in Morris, NJ?

[Suburbia]

How would the previous poster do in well-heeled Morris, NJ?

[Progressive Pessimist]

You would probably win it, regardless of what party you run under, but would perform slightly better as a Republican than as a Democrat.

[GregTheGreat657]

He would probably win it but only by about 2%

[West_Midlander]

Wins by <1% or loses by 1-2%; depends on the national environment

[Make America Grumpy Again]

Wins by <1% or loses by 1-2%; depends on the national environment

[Roll Roons]

Loses it by mid-single digits. Populist Republicanism doesn't play very well there.

[GregTheGreat657]

Wins by mid-single digits, as his brand of moderate conservatism would play well there

[S019]

Loses by like 4 or 5 points

[Xing]

Wins by about 7, in part due to a home state advantage.

[Schiff for Senate]

Wins by about 7, in part due to a home state advantage.

Loses by single digits.

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

Wins by somewhere in between Trump 16 to Romney 12 numbers (between +4 and +10), probably hitting closer to the lower number due to partisan shifts (so 50-45)

[GregTheGreat657]

Wins by 5-6

[UWS]

Wins with at least a late single-digit lead.

[GregTheGreat657]

Loses by about 5

[West_Midlander]

Loses with 48% of the vote.

[Pink Panther]

Loses it by roughly 7-8%.

[GregTheGreat657]

Loses by about 5

[TDAS04]

Wins by 2%

[GregTheGreat657]

Wins by 3-4%

[Alben Barkley]

Loses by 1%

[WPADEM]

Wins decisively.

[Schiff for Senate]

For reference, this is how Morris has voted in recent elections:

2020 PRES: 61.7-36.8% Biden (D+24.9)
2020 SEN: 58.7-40.6% Booker (D+18.1)
2018 SEN: 51.0-46.3% Menendez (D+4.7)
2017 GOV: 53.1-45.7% Murphy (D+7.4)
2016 PRES: 55.5-40.7% Clinton (D+14.8 )

I think all of us, myself included, were guessing Morris is similar to Morris County politically, that is, politically competitive or with a slight GOP tilt. However, contrary to this popular belief, it's clearly a very Democratic area (if one that's not a fan of corrupt politicians - look at how badly Menendez did compared to Murphy, Booker, Biden and Clinton).

Loses by about 2%

Wins by 15-20 points (he seems to be Democratic-leaning on the whole).

[Progressive Pessimist]

For reference, this is how Morris has voted in recent elections:

2020 PRES: 61.7-36.8% Biden (D+24.9)
2020 SEN: 58.7-40.6% Booker (D+18.1)
2018 SEN: 51.0-46.3% Menendez (D+4.7)
2017 GOV: 53.1-45.7% Murphy (D+7.4)
2016 PRES: 55.5-40.7% Clinton (D+14.8 )

I think all of us, myself included, were guessing Morris is similar to Morris County politically, that is, politically competitive or with a slight GOP tilt. However, contrary to this popular belief, it's clearly a very Democratic area (if one that's not a fan of corrupt politicians - look at how badly Menendez did compared to Murphy, Booker, Biden and Clinton).

Loses by about 2%

Wins by 15-20 points (he seems to be Democratic-leaning on the whole).

Oh, was this thread about the town instead of the county all along? I think most posters (including myself) were under the assumption of it being the county.

[Schiff for Senate]

For reference, this is how Morris has voted in recent elections:

2020 PRES: 61.7-36.8% Biden (D+24.9)
2020 SEN: 58.7-40.6% Booker (D+18.1)
2018 SEN: 51.0-46.3% Menendez (D+4.7)
2017 GOV: 53.1-45.7% Murphy (D+7.4)
2016 PRES: 55.5-40.7% Clinton (D+14.8 )

I think all of us, myself included, were guessing Morris is similar to Morris County politically, that is, politically competitive or with a slight GOP tilt. However, contrary to this popular belief, it's clearly a very Democratic area (if one that's not a fan of corrupt politicians - look at how badly Menendez did compared to Murphy, Booker, Biden and Clinton).

Loses by about 2%

Wins by 15-20 points (he seems to be Democratic-leaning on the whole).

Oh, was this thread about the town instead of the county all along? I think most posters (including myself) were under the assumption of it being the county.

I don't think it was the idea was that it's the county itself, just that everyone figured Morris' politics = Morris County's politics (though yeah, the end result is the same - people vastly overestimating how conservative/competitive Morris actually is). Of course, the relevation that Morris itself is a Biden+25 polity makes this whole affair much less interesting.