What are the chances Dems win ANY of these seats?

[SaneDemocrat]

Chances one of Beasley,Ryan,Barnes win

[ShamDam]

FiveThirtyEight pegs all three of these as 1-in-3 shots. But they're probably highly correlated. I say 40 percent chance at least one of them wins. But more likely than not Republicans will sweep.

[ProgressiveModerate]

FiveThirtyEight pegs all three of these as 1-in-3 shots. But they're probably highly correlated. I say 40 percent chance at least one of them wins. But more likely than not Republicans will sweep.

Too add onto this, Wisconsin, Ohio, and North Carolina are relatively simillar demographically, at least compared to other swing states like Arizona and Nevada.

All 3 states are mostly white with notable black populations, have their share of more liberal and conservative cities, and dense rural communities where the GOP has made impressive gains in recent cycles.

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

20-30 percent right now, but could be in the 30-40 percent range by election day if the polls stay exactly where they are now.

[7,052,770]

Since they're so highly correlated, I'll say a little less than 50-50 at this point.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

20-30 percent right now, but could be in the 30-40 percent range by election day if the polls stay exactly where they are now.

Lol your R nut map will be wrong if Beasley, Ryan or Barnes win I have been doing this since 2004 I always make wave insurance maps there are always upsets we won GA in 2020 that was supposed to stay red it wasn't blue

[free my dawg]

30 for Wisconsin, 20 for NC, 10 for Ohio

[Fmr. Gov. NickG]

Since they're so highly correlated, I'll say a little less than 50-50 at this point.

This is my guess as well.  I think they are all individually in the 30%-40% range, and mostly but not entirely correlated.

[MillennialModerate]

Ohio: 2%
North Carolina: 5%
Wisconsin: 25%

Chances of winning 1 of those 3? I’d say around 30ish

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Ohio: 2%
North Carolina: 5%
Wisconsin: 25%

Chances of winning 1 of those 3? I’d say around 30ish

Lol WI is a 50/50 shot, you will find out none of these races are gonna be called at polls closing OH, NC, FL or Wzi , but PA, NH, AZ are

Do you know what too close to call is, it means the candidates have a 50/50 shot and again OH, WI, FL, and NC aren't gonna be called at polls closing.

Users expect instant gratification that as soon as polls close the races in the Senate are gonna be calked, the RH will be called all Rs need is 5 Seats  in TX and FL and OH, NC, WI aren't FL

Just remember there are always upsets Kelly won KS, in 2018, Ds won KY 2019 and we won GA in 2020 GA was supposed to go red the same thing can happen especially in NC

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

Ohio- 15 %
NC- 10 %
WI- 10 %

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Ohio- 15 %
NC- 10 %
WI- 10 %

It's too close til Eday to believe the Rs are gonna win and no WI isn't 10 percent it's 50/50

[S019]

Somewhere between 30-40%

Individual:

OH: <5% (lol)
WI: 30%
NC: 40%

[Orwell]

I'd say about 25%, voted 30%, simply because we're really flying blind.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

NC: 10%
OH: 20%
WI: 45%