How did your municipality vote in 2020?
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Author Topic: How did your municipality vote in 2020?  (Read 2166 times)
GregTheGreat657
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« on: October 05, 2021, 04:16:18 PM »
My town voted for Trump by 25
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Interlocutor is just not there yet
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« Reply #1 on: October 05, 2021, 04:55:50 PM »
« Edited: October 07, 2021, 02:58:11 AM by "?" »
2016:    Clinton 56.4%  Trump 37.2%   (+19.2%)
2020:      Biden 58.6%  Trump 39.1%   (+19.5%)


Biden improved a bit in the whiter neighborhoods while Trump improved a bit in the minority neighborhoods. Though as a whole, I don't think there were any flips within the city.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #2 on: October 05, 2021, 06:21:55 PM »
Trump won by about 1% in both 2016 and 2020, sadly.
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VirginiaAaron
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« Reply #3 on: October 05, 2021, 08:15:56 PM »
Hometown (VA) -
2016: Trump 53-41
2020: Trump 71-26

Current home (SC) -
2016: Clinton 51-43
2020: Biden 57-42
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #4 on: October 05, 2021, 08:19:57 PM »
Quote from: SouthCarolinaAaron on October 05, 2021, 08:15:56 PM
Hometown (VA) -
2016: Trump 53-41
2020: Trump 71-26

Current home (SC) -
2016: Clinton 51-43
2020: Biden 57-42

What part of VA swung that hard towards Trump?
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slothdem
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« Reply #5 on: October 05, 2021, 09:42:28 PM »
Hometown (NJ)
2016: 57 Clinton - 39 Trump
2020: 61 Biden -38 Trump

Present municipality
2016: 91 Clinton - 4 Trump
2020 92 Biden - 5 Trump
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VAR
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« Reply #6 on: October 05, 2021, 09:50:07 PM »
« Edited: October 06, 2021, 06:58:59 PM by VAR »
Arlington, Virginia (pop. 238,719)
2016   Clinton 75.8%   Trump 16.6% (+59.2%)
2020     Biden 80.6%   Trump 17.1% (+63.5%)

Not much to say really, other than that Democrats are probably maxed out here.
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One Term Floridian
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« Reply #7 on: October 05, 2021, 10:43:38 PM »
Quote from: Roll Roons on October 05, 2021, 08:19:57 PM
Quote from: SouthCarolinaAaron on October 05, 2021, 08:15:56 PM
Hometown (VA) -
2016: Trump 53-41
2020: Trump 71-26

Current home (SC) -
2016: Clinton 51-43
2020: Biden 57-42

What part of VA swung that hard towards Trump?

Seriously where is this
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GM Team Member and Senator WB
weatherboy1102
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« Reply #8 on: October 05, 2021, 10:53:58 PM »
« Edited: October 05, 2021, 10:58:16 PM by Senator and Chair WB »
I don't think CDPs have levels that far down but according to DRA (since block data is screwy take with a pinch of salt)

2016: 73.0-22.5-4.5 (Trump+50.5%)
2020: 70.6-27.7-1.7 (Trump+42.9%)

Swing:+7.6% to Biden
Trend: +5.3% to Biden

My precinct actually had no real change in margin, but the more diverse, and notably increasingly suburbanized neighboring precincts that make the rest of the population swung like 10 points left.
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TJ in Oregon
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« Reply #9 on: October 06, 2021, 02:11:36 AM »
Portland, Oregon (pop. 652,503)
2016   Clinton 78.0%   Trump 12.7% (+65.3%)
2020     Biden 83.9%   Trump 13.3% (+70.6%)
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VirginiaAaron
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« Reply #10 on: October 06, 2021, 11:59:15 AM »
Quote from: Roll Roons on October 05, 2021, 08:19:57 PM
Quote from: SouthCarolinaAaron on October 05, 2021, 08:15:56 PM
Hometown (VA) -
2016: Trump 53-41
2020: Trump 71-26

Current home (SC) -
2016: Clinton 51-43
2020: Biden 57-42

What part of VA swung that hard towards Trump?

My precinct in VA had always been fairly competitive. Advantage Republicans but never by that much. My county, James City County, had flipped from Biden to Trump on that same ballot as well. Very weird result.

I went ahead and wrote down some results for other races since 2000:

President -
2020: Trump 71, Biden 26
2016: Trump 53, Clinton 41
2012: Romney 56, Obama 43
2008: McCain 59, Obama 40
2004: Bush 65, Kerry 34
2000: No precinct results (per VA Elections website)

GOP Presidential Primary -
2016: Rubio 35, Trump 31, Cruz 12, Carson 6, Kasich 5
2012: Romney 69, Paul 31
2008: McCain 50, Huckabee 41, Paul 5, Romney 2
2000: Bush 50, McCain 46, Keyes 4

DEM Presidential Primary -
2020: Biden 64, Sanders 14, Bloomberg 12, Warren 8, Gabbard 1
2016: Clinton 68, Sanders 31
2008: Obama 60, Clinton 39
2004: Kerry 43, Edwards 32, Dean 15, Sharpton 6, Kucinich 3, Lieberman 1


U.S. Senate Class II -
2020: Gade 71, Warner 29
2014: Gillespie 53, Warner 44
2008: (Mark) Warner 55, Gilmore 44
2002: (John) Warner 85, Spannaus 8, Hornberger 5

U.S. Senate Class I -
2018: Kaine 51, Stewart 48
2012: Allen 54, Kaine 46
2006: Allen 58, Webb 41
2000: Allen 59, Robb 41

Governor -
2017: Gillespie 51, Northam 48
2013: Cuccinelli 50, McAuliffe 41, Sarvis 9
2009: McDonnell 69, Creeds 31
2005: Kilgore 52, Kaine 44
2001: Earley 52, Warner 47
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Thunder98
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« Reply #11 on: October 06, 2021, 12:25:09 PM »
How my town voted in the past 2 prez elections. It swing 9% Dem from 2016 to 2020!

2016: Trump 61.3% - Clinton 32.7% (R+28.6%)


2020: Trump 59.6% - Biden 39% (R+19.6%)

Swing: D+9%!
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nclib
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« Reply #12 on: October 26, 2021, 07:35:12 PM »
Biden 84.9%
Trump 13.6%
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TML
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« Reply #13 on: October 26, 2021, 09:19:29 PM »
Based on data from DRA, they only went down to the "town" level, not the CDP level. On that level, the town I'm part of went 57-42 for Biden. When I drill down further, it appears that precinct boundaries do not match municipal boundaries, so it's a bit more difficult to quantify the results for my CDP.
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Del Tachi
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« Reply #14 on: October 26, 2021, 09:26:03 PM »
Biden 83.2%
Trump 15.0%
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The Invincible Brent Boggs
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« Reply #15 on: October 27, 2021, 01:33:29 AM »
Quote from: VAR on October 05, 2021, 09:50:07 PM
Arlington, Virginia (pop. 238,719)
2016   Clinton 75.8%   Trump 16.6% (+59.2%)
2020     Biden 80.6%   Trump 17.1% (+63.5%)

Not much to say really, other than that Democrats are probably maxed out here.

As someone from Seattle (86.0-8.6 Clinton, 88.5-9.1 Biden), I assure you that Dems are not maxed out there.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #16 on: October 27, 2021, 10:25:34 AM »
Quote from: SouthCarolinaAaron on October 06, 2021, 11:59:15 AM
Quote from: Roll Roons on October 05, 2021, 08:19:57 PM
Quote from: SouthCarolinaAaron on October 05, 2021, 08:15:56 PM
Hometown (VA) -
2016: Trump 53-41
2020: Trump 71-26

Current home (SC) -
2016: Clinton 51-43
2020: Biden 57-42

What part of VA swung that hard towards Trump?

My precinct in VA had always been fairly competitive. Advantage Republicans but never by that much. My county, James City County, had flipped from Biden to Trump on that same ballot as well. Very weird result.

I went ahead and wrote down some results for other races since 2000:

President -
2020: Trump 71, Biden 26
2016: Trump 53, Clinton 41
2012: Romney 56, Obama 43
2008: McCain 59, Obama 40
2004: Bush 65, Kerry 34
2000: No precinct results (per VA Elections website)

GOP Presidential Primary -
2016: Rubio 35, Trump 31, Cruz 12, Carson 6, Kasich 5
2012: Romney 69, Paul 31
2008: McCain 50, Huckabee 41, Paul 5, Romney 2
2000: Bush 50, McCain 46, Keyes 4

DEM Presidential Primary -
2020: Biden 64, Sanders 14, Bloomberg 12, Warren 8, Gabbard 1
2016: Clinton 68, Sanders 31
2008: Obama 60, Clinton 39
2004: Kerry 43, Edwards 32, Dean 15, Sharpton 6, Kucinich 3, Lieberman 1


U.S. Senate Class II -
2020: Gade 71, Warner 29
2014: Gillespie 53, Warner 44
2008: (Mark) Warner 55, Gilmore 44
2002: (John) Warner 85, Spannaus 8, Hornberger 5

U.S. Senate Class I -
2018: Kaine 51, Stewart 48
2012: Allen 54, Kaine 46
2006: Allen 58, Webb 41
2000: Allen 59, Robb 41

Governor -
2017: Gillespie 51, Northam 48
2013: Cuccinelli 50, McAuliffe 41, Sarvis 9
2009: McDonnell 69, Creeds 31
2005: Kilgore 52, Kaine 44
2001: Earley 52, Warner 47

Oh your precicnt swung so hard because of Absentee ballots not being counted by precinct.
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perpetual_cynic
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« Reply #17 on: October 27, 2021, 12:46:22 PM »
Biden (D) +14.7% (56.7-42.0%)
Clinton (D) +7.8% (51.1-43.3%)
Romney (R) +29.7% (64.1-34.4%)
McCain (R) +15.7% (57.4-41.7%)
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rhg2052
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« Reply #18 on: October 27, 2021, 08:29:20 PM »
Hometown (NOVA):

2020 - Hard to say exactly since absentees were only reported county-wide but about 75 Biden, 25 Trump if its results relative to the rest of the county stayed consistent.
2016 - 73 Clinton, 27 Trump
2012 - 65.4 Obama, 34.6 Romney
2008 - 66 Obama, 34 McCain
2004 - 59.3 Kerry, 40.7 Bush
2000 - 57.3 Gore, 42.7 Bush
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Wormless Gourd
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« Reply #19 on: October 28, 2021, 09:35:38 AM »
Nearest town was Biden +50
Neighborhood was Biden +25 though
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Tekken_Guy
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« Reply #20 on: October 30, 2021, 12:46:05 AM »
2004: 65-34 Kerry
2008: 69-30 Obama
2012: 71-28 Obama
2016: 74-23 Clinton
2020: 78-21 Biden
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Jamison5
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« Reply #21 on: November 01, 2021, 10:46:21 PM »
Trump 58-40
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vitoNova
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« Reply #22 on: November 01, 2021, 11:47:28 PM »
80% for Sleepy Joe.

(Arlington County, VA)
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bagelman
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« Reply #23 on: November 04, 2021, 02:12:32 AM »
Flipped from Trump to Biden
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #24 on: November 07, 2021, 09:23:26 PM »
Biden by precinct, Trump by town and county.
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