2022: A Republican sweep
2024: Biden and Baldwin statewide victory
WI is a state with confounding trends. Population growth in WI almost always favors Democrats, and this article explains it well:
https://www.jsonline.com/story/news/politics/analysis/2021/08/27/wisconsin-areas-most-growth-also-see-rise-democratic-voting/5616090001/ Madison/Dane is growing rapidly and gets more Democratic every election cycle and is increasingly influential over statewide elections. As someone else mentioned, the GOP erosion in WOW was not simply because Trump was on the ballot. WOW is now following national suburban trends and trending D. Milwaukee, however, is losing population, which could spell trouble for Democrats in the future. Republicans have a lot of room to grow in the rurals and industrial cities with higher numbers of WWC.
Basically, WI is a tossup and should be highly contested by both parities. It is hard to tell if the state will trend rightward or leftward. Change in voting patterns and voter participation matters more than anything.
