MN-GOV (KARE 11/Star Tribune/MPR/Frontline)- Walz approval +5

[LiberalDem19]

https://www.mprnews.org/story/2021/09/23/poll-biden-walz-below-50percent-approval-mark

Walz- 49/44

Biden- 47/51

[neostassenite31]

It looks like the Star Tribune is doing a serial release for their one Mason-Dixon poll, and they *might* drop an actual H2H against an R opponent tonight. A few of the earlier releases included various issue-based topics as well.

[MT Treasurer]

Walz is favored and I’m not going to trust the MN GOP to change that, but reading this forum you really wouldn’t get the impression that NH actually voted (slightly) to the left of MN in 2020 and had an even stronger D trend than MN in 2020 (smaller R trend than MN in 2016). It’s interesting how differently the recent presidential-level trends in those two states are treated.

If NH really swings substantially to the right in 2022 (big if, I’m not yet convinced that it will), this race will likely be at least close unless Republicans nominate a candidate who doesn’t even try or is Moore-tier bad.

[Real Texan Politics]

Walz is favored and I’m not going to trust the MN GOP to change that, but reading this forum you really wouldn’t get the impression that NH actually voted (slightly) to the left of MN in 2020 and had an even stronger D trend than MN in 2020 (smaller R trend than MN in 2016). It’s interesting how differently the recent presidential-level trends in those two states are treated.

If NH really swings substantially to the right in 2022 (big if, I’m not yet convinced that it will), this race will likely be at least close unless Republicans nominate a candidate who doesn’t even try or is Moore-tier bad.

Good thing Lindell's not running for gov then.

[slothdem]

Walz is favored and I’m not going to trust the MN GOP to change that, but reading this forum you really wouldn’t get the impression that NH actually voted (slightly) to the left of MN in 2020 and had an even stronger D trend than MN in 2020 (smaller R trend than MN in 2016). It’s interesting how differently the recent presidential-level trends in those two states are treated.

If NH really swings substantially to the right in 2022 (big if, I’m not yet convinced that it will), this race will likely be at least close unless Republicans nominate a candidate who doesn’t even try or is Moore-tier bad.

I think the reason why the board has been solidly behind blue Minnesota is that if you combine Trump's vote margin of victory in every county he won, it's less than Biden's margin of victory in Hennepin County. New Hampshire seems more vulnerable to bigger swings. But yeah, both are pretty blue.

[Hope For A New Era]

Well, it's going to be 50% Walz and 5% Other then, because Minnesota Republicans are forever stuck at 45%.