Ideological breakdown of US states

[R.P. McM]

Illinois:
Metro East: Historically Democratic, trending to the right. Very true in Madison County, much less so in St. Clair County. Clinton, Monroe, Jersey, and Washington counties remain solid as ever for the GOP.

Southern Illinois: Formerly Blue Dog Dem territory (Poshard/Phelps/Bradley-type Dems), zooming hard right at all levels. Carbondale in Jackson County is basically it for the Dems here now, as Cairo further depopulated which caused Alexander County to go red. Franklin and Gallatin counties were heavily Democratic, now flipped hard to the GOP.

Western Illinois: Ancestrally Democratic region trending fast to the GOP, especially in Henderson and Fulton counties. Peoria and Rock Island  (Quad Cities, Moline) counties augment the Democrats here. Adams County (Quincy) has been a rock-solid bastion for the GOP here.

Eastern Illinois: Heavily GOP sans Champaign County (C/U). See Darren Bailey, Blaine Wilhour, and the Eastern Bloc fools.

Central Illinois: Heavily GOP, though McLean (BloNo) and Sangamon (Springfield) counties are trending leftwards. Macoupin, Macon (Decatur), Montgomery, and Calhoun counties trended the other way to the right.

Chicago: Heavily Democratic, type of Dem varies by ward_

Non-Cook Chicagoland Suburbs/Exurbs: Formerly Moderate Edgar/Topinka-style Republicans and a few Ives-style GOPers (DuPage, Kane, Lake, Kendall, and even McHenry counties), zooming leftward to the Dems. Kankakee County is the main GOP center of activity here.  


Cook County Suburbs: Mostly Democratic area that once was GOP-dominated many moons ago.

Northern Illinois: Largely GOP, though Winnebago County (Rockford) is Dem-leaning. Whiteside, Putnam, and La Salle counties were Democratic-leaning, but have trended rightwards.

It’s amazing how quickly the urban areas of the Midwest are becoming more like East Coast metros and the areas outside of them are becoming “Southernized”. It’s like the unique midwestern political culture of checkerboard communities and ideologies is being McDonaldized by Ivy-Controlled Massachusetts or Wall Street-controlled Alabama.

True. I've witnessed it firsthand. The "Southernization" is bewildering, given the history of MN. But I don't think the reaction in the MSP metro has really mirrored the East Coast. It's far more strident, far less compromising. When MN is a +10 Democratic state, Republicans won't win anything. And the MN GOP, post-Arne Carlson, won't moderate itself in order to garner popular support. Which is more akin to the pattern that's prevailed in the Western U.S.

[Person Man]

Illinois:
Metro East: Historically Democratic, trending to the right. Very true in Madison County, much less so in St. Clair County. Clinton, Monroe, Jersey, and Washington counties remain solid as ever for the GOP.

Southern Illinois: Formerly Blue Dog Dem territory (Poshard/Phelps/Bradley-type Dems), zooming hard right at all levels. Carbondale in Jackson County is basically it for the Dems here now, as Cairo further depopulated which caused Alexander County to go red. Franklin and Gallatin counties were heavily Democratic, now flipped hard to the GOP.

Western Illinois: Ancestrally Democratic region trending fast to the GOP, especially in Henderson and Fulton counties. Peoria and Rock Island  (Quad Cities, Moline) counties augment the Democrats here. Adams County (Quincy) has been a rock-solid bastion for the GOP here.

Eastern Illinois: Heavily GOP sans Champaign County (C/U). See Darren Bailey, Blaine Wilhour, and the Eastern Bloc fools.

Central Illinois: Heavily GOP, though McLean (BloNo) and Sangamon (Springfield) counties are trending leftwards. Macoupin, Macon (Decatur), Montgomery, and Calhoun counties trended the other way to the right.

Chicago: Heavily Democratic, type of Dem varies by ward_

Non-Cook Chicagoland Suburbs/Exurbs: Formerly Moderate Edgar/Topinka-style Republicans and a few Ives-style GOPers (DuPage, Kane, Lake, Kendall, and even McHenry counties), zooming leftward to the Dems. Kankakee County is the main GOP center of activity here.  


Cook County Suburbs: Mostly Democratic area that once was GOP-dominated many moons ago.

Northern Illinois: Largely GOP, though Winnebago County (Rockford) is Dem-leaning. Whiteside, Putnam, and La Salle counties were Democratic-leaning, but have trended rightwards.

It’s amazing how quickly the urban areas of the Midwest are becoming more like East Coast metros and the areas outside of them are becoming “Southernized”. It’s like the unique midwestern political culture of checkerboard communities and ideologies is being McDonaldized by Ivy-Controlled Massachusetts or Wall Street-controlled Alabama.

True. I've witnessed it firsthand. The "Southernization" is bewildering, given the history of MN. But I don't think the reaction in the MSP metro has really mirrored the East Coast. It's far more strident, far less compromising. When MN is a +10 Democratic state, Republicans won't win anything. And the MN GOP, post-Arne Carlson, won't moderate itself in order to garner popular support. Which is more akin to the pattern that's prevailed in the Western U.S.

Maybe Minnesota will be more like a suburban western state eventually.

[R.P. McM]

Illinois:
Metro East: Historically Democratic, trending to the right. Very true in Madison County, much less so in St. Clair County. Clinton, Monroe, Jersey, and Washington counties remain solid as ever for the GOP.

Southern Illinois: Formerly Blue Dog Dem territory (Poshard/Phelps/Bradley-type Dems), zooming hard right at all levels. Carbondale in Jackson County is basically it for the Dems here now, as Cairo further depopulated which caused Alexander County to go red. Franklin and Gallatin counties were heavily Democratic, now flipped hard to the GOP.

Western Illinois: Ancestrally Democratic region trending fast to the GOP, especially in Henderson and Fulton counties. Peoria and Rock Island  (Quad Cities, Moline) counties augment the Democrats here. Adams County (Quincy) has been a rock-solid bastion for the GOP here.

Eastern Illinois: Heavily GOP sans Champaign County (C/U). See Darren Bailey, Blaine Wilhour, and the Eastern Bloc fools.

Central Illinois: Heavily GOP, though McLean (BloNo) and Sangamon (Springfield) counties are trending leftwards. Macoupin, Macon (Decatur), Montgomery, and Calhoun counties trended the other way to the right.

Chicago: Heavily Democratic, type of Dem varies by ward_

Non-Cook Chicagoland Suburbs/Exurbs: Formerly Moderate Edgar/Topinka-style Republicans and a few Ives-style GOPers (DuPage, Kane, Lake, Kendall, and even McHenry counties), zooming leftward to the Dems. Kankakee County is the main GOP center of activity here.  


Cook County Suburbs: Mostly Democratic area that once was GOP-dominated many moons ago.

Northern Illinois: Largely GOP, though Winnebago County (Rockford) is Dem-leaning. Whiteside, Putnam, and La Salle counties were Democratic-leaning, but have trended rightwards.

It’s amazing how quickly the urban areas of the Midwest are becoming more like East Coast metros and the areas outside of them are becoming “Southernized”. It’s like the unique midwestern political culture of checkerboard communities and ideologies is being McDonaldized by Ivy-Controlled Massachusetts or Wall Street-controlled Alabama.

True. I've witnessed it firsthand. The "Southernization" is bewildering, given the history of MN. But I don't think the reaction in the MSP metro has really mirrored the East Coast. It's far more strident, far less compromising. When MN is a +10 Democratic state, Republicans won't win anything. And the MN GOP, post-Arne Carlson, won't moderate itself in order to garner popular support. Which is more akin to the pattern that's prevailed in the Western U.S.

Maybe Minnesota will be more like a suburban western state eventually.

I think that's likely. Because we used to have a somewhat moderate/independent GOP establishment. But nowadays, it's basically defunct. No Charlie Baker's coming out of the MN Republican Party. Instead, they prefer to nominate candidates like Mike Lindell. Which reminds me of the CA GOP. Doesn't matter how many statewide races they lose, their voters insist on catering to the fringe.

[Fuzzy Bear]

Florida:

Southeast Florida:  Democratic and Liberal (except for Republican Martin County which is far less populous than the other counties.

Southwest Florida:  Republican and Conservative.  There is some movement leftward in Manatee and Sarasota Counties.

Central East Florida:  Republican and economically Conservative.  There are some Democratic trends.  St. Lucie and Volusia Counties are somewhat swing counties.

Central Florida:  Democratic and Liberal on balance, due to the extensive increase in Hispanic influx in Orange, Osceola, and Seminole Counties and the presence of U of Florida in Alachua County.  These trends are countered by the inmigration of extremely conservative retirees in The Villages (Sumter and Marion Counties) and the culturally conservative counties of Polk, Hardee, Hardee, Highlands, and Okeechobee Counties.

Central West Florida:  Tilt Democratic and Liberal.  Hillsborough County is Democratic, but not overwhelmingly so, and Pinellas County is a swing county.  The rest of the area is Republican and conservative.

Northeast Florida:  Republican and Conservative on balance.  Retirees are wealthy and conservative, with a military presence in Jacksonville.  Only Jacksonville's large Black population make Duval County a tossup.

North Central Florida:  Republican and culturally conservative, except for Leon County and Gadsden Counties which are heavily Black and Democratic.

West Central Florida:  Republican and conservative.  An extension of the Deep South.  By far the most Republican and conservative part of the state these days.

[GregTheGreat657]

Arizona

Rurals: Very conservative (for the most part)
Tucson area: Pretty liberal
Phoenix proper: Very liberal
East Valley: Center-left
West Valley: Fairly conservative