MI-GOV: Trafalgar: Craig +6

[SN2903]

Whitmer will lose by 5 to 10% in my opinion.

[Senator Incitatus]

This is literally the first I'm hearing of this race; is Craig's name identification high enough to think this is anything other than a reaction against Whitmer and/or Democrats in general?

Craig's own internal has him down 1, so...

The bias of internal polling is that they're selectively released. Craig released a poll showing him down one, which could mean he's sitting on a handful of polls with better results but wants to fundraise off "I NEED YOUR HELP TO BEAT GRETCHEN WHITMER" or something.

Not the most common tactic but it does happen somewhat often, especially this early in the race.

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

Bumping after they were right about VA

[Chips]

Whitmer should certainly be very worried right about now I'd say.

[Sir Mohamed]

Whitmer should certainly be very worried right about now I'd say.

Actually since Nov. 7, 2020, when Biden was declared prez-elect. It's for sure premature to call this Lean R as we speak. Nevertheless this is going to be a very competitive race.

[Chips]

Whitmer should certainly be very worried right about now I'd say.

Actually since Nov. 7, 2020, when Biden was declared prez-elect. It's for sure premature to call this Lean R as we speak. Nevertheless this is going to be a very competitive race.

Agreed. I actually have her as the slight underdog and I think she likely would've lost had her election been held last night.

I will say I think it sounds tempting to put PA as Lean R though. That close NJ result CAN'T be any good for Dems in the Philly suburbs in any regard. I'll hold off on that for the meantime though as it's a year away and anything can happen.

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

Bumping after they were right about VA

About VA and NJ.

[Xing]

I still think Whitmer would have to run an awful campaign to lose this badly, but I would not be surprised by her losing.

[Progressive Pessimist]

Safe R.

So much for her being a "rising star."

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Safe R.

So much for her being a "rising star."

Lol a 6 pt lead even in this Environment isn't safe R, MI Gov polls have always been Junky, Traggy had Trump ahead of Biden on the Final weekend in 202o too

[2016]

If a little known Republican African American Woman like Winsome Sears can win the the VA Lt. Governor Race then Craig, who is much more known can win in Michigan.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

If a little known Republican African American Woman like Winsome Sears can win the the VA Lt. Governor Race then Craig, who is much more known can win in Michigan.

Youngkin ran on cutting taxes, Southern states are more prone to tax cuts than a state like MI or Cali whom have high property tax asides DTW is much more pro union than VA

[Sprouts Farmers Market ✘]

Whitmer should certainly be very worried right about now I'd say.

Actually since Nov. 7, 2020, when Biden was declared prez-elect. It's for sure premature to call this Lean R as we speak. Nevertheless this is going to be a very competitive race.

Agreed. I actually have her as the slight underdog and I think she likely would've lost had her election been held last night.

I will say I think it sounds tempting to put PA as Lean R though. That close NJ result CAN'T be any good for Dems in the Philly suburbs in any regard. I'll hold off on that for the meantime though as it's a year away and anything can happen.

Not to mention Pennsylvania's own partisan Supreme Court election where the Republican won 52-48 where I was a strong Democratic voter (and Superior Court by a margin of 55-45)