South Los angeles and The Bronx why did they swung right in 2020
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  South Los angeles and The Bronx why did they swung right in 2020
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Author Topic: South Los angeles and The Bronx why did they swung right in 2020  (Read 410 times)
thebeloitmoderate
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« on: September 22, 2021, 08:00:00 PM »

Obama and Clinton won about 88-91 percent in those areas but why did it swung so right?
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progressive85
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« Reply #1 on: September 22, 2021, 08:34:48 PM »

Obama and Clinton won about 88-91 percent in those areas but why did it swung so right?

Even black and Latino men like Machismo.  They want an Alpha, not a Beta... even though Ol' Grandpa Joe's more of an Alpha than Cheeto will ever be.

Cheeto's just a Cheeto.  He's also really, really orange.

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thebeloitmoderate
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« Reply #2 on: September 22, 2021, 09:06:58 PM »

And South La east of I-110 isn't even as majority black as back in the days of N.W.A/straight outta compton or depicted in Boyz N the hood/Menace II society it is now majority Hispanic with a slight black plurality. The Bronx still has a sizable African American population though there is a huge Afro Latino population specifically Puerto Rican/Dominican 
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khuzifenq
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« Reply #3 on: September 22, 2021, 10:19:02 PM »

Increased turnout and low-propensity nonwhite voters being less one-sidedly D than high-propensity ones.
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Non Swing Voter
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« Reply #4 on: September 23, 2021, 12:54:50 AM »

Do we need to provide more blue avatar cat nip threads?  There isn't a hispanic realignment, period.
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Starry Eyed Jagaloon
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« Reply #5 on: September 23, 2021, 11:15:52 AM »

And South La east of I-110 isn't even as majority black as back in the days of N.W.A/straight outta compton or depicted in Boyz N the hood/Menace II society it is now majority Hispanic with a slight black plurality. The Bronx still has a sizable African American population though there is a huge Afro Latino population specifically Puerto Rican/Dominican 

That's true. Every year, South LA gets less black and more Latino. Of course, Angelino Latinos aren't a bastion of conservatism, but as a group that goes 95-5 Dem becomes a smaller share of the population while a group that goes 80-20 Dem grows, a shift right is mathematically inevitable. The Bronx is, of course, the same.
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Tintrlvr
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« Reply #6 on: September 23, 2021, 11:50:48 AM »

COVID. Poor minority communities have a non-negligible number of anti-lockdown, anti-mask voters (many of whom are also now anti-vaccine, though that wasn't an issue in Nov. 2020) who voted for Trump but ordinarily don't vote or vote Democratic. The number of such voters is not huge; after all, we're only talking about swings of 2-5% or so among communities that are 80-90% Democratic. But certainly it had an impact.

Population changes that others mentioned (replacement of 95% Democratic black voters with 80% Democratic Hispanic voters) are also meaningful over the long term but hard to see in 4-year time intervals with a backdrop of national swings happening at the same time so I don't ascribe much to them.
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thebeloitmoderate
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« Reply #7 on: September 23, 2021, 12:21:43 PM »

And Also Compton/Harlem not located in the areas i mentioned but has the same atmosphere the African Americans had moved back to the suburbs but most especially south in a reverse great migration forcing hispanics from East L.A/South Bronx to move there.
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Interlocutor is just not there yet
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« Reply #8 on: September 23, 2021, 06:50:24 PM »
« Edited: September 23, 2021, 06:54:10 PM by "?" »

Where's all the "Why did Kansas & Nebraska (Or Georgia, Alaska, Oregon, Minnesota, Colorado) swing left in 2020?" threads? They all had comparable swings & closer margins than LA/NYC/CA.
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