I bet it will be the usual 56-41 New Jersey election but I expect some movement from 2017 in certain regions. Pretty sure Murphy will do considerably better in Somerset, Hunterdon, Morris but much worse in Gloucester, Salem, Cumberland.
100% agreed. Murphy might even do better in Monmouth too. And Atlantic might be among the South Jersey realignment too, of the counties moving away from the Democrats.
I don't think any counties flip in the end though, other than Morris maybe.
There is no chance Murphy carries Morris County. It has changed A LOT clearly, but it's not going to flip. He will do better there than Salem County.
