2021 Canadian general election - Election Day and Results

[Oryxslayer]

Peterborough-Kawartha looks like it is going to lose it's bellwether status thanks to Liberal incumbent Maryam Monsef's controversial statements.

[Vosem]

95 votes between first and third place in Trois-Rivieres, appropriately enough.

[BigSerg]

I have seen enough, conservatives will win the popular vote.

[Lief 🗽]

Kind of messed up that the CBC has a Liberal, Conservative, and NDP hack on their panel but no BQ hack?

[OSR stands with Israel]

So this election was basically a giant waste of time

[jaichind]

I have seen enough, conservatives will win the popular vote.

Are you sure about that?  Once the VBM comes in I suspect LPC will narrowly edge out CPC.

[Horus]

What the hell do Canadians see in this guy? He's so fake and smarmy.

[Gass3268]

So this election was basically a giant waste of time

Just like the California recall.

[Drew]

CBC just showed the tail end of Bernier’s speech, looked like there were little more than a dozen people at his event, lol.

[super6646]

Cons just pulled ahead in PV.

[Gass3268]

The Conservative Party has taken the plurality of the popular vote from the Liberals
Considering how they're performing, it looks likely this lead will last

Mail vote doesn't get counted until tomorrow.

[Lief 🗽]

What the hell do Canadians see in this guy? He's so fake and smarmy.

IMO it's a good thing that the Canadian people are looking beyond Trudeau's horrible personality and voting to re-elect the Liberals based on their solid and progressive record in government. You have to give a lot of credit to the voters for that.

[OSR stands with Israel]

So did reform cost the Tories or not really given they are at 5%

[Continential]

What the hell do Canadians see in this guy? He's so fake and smarmy.

IMO it's a good thing that the Canadian people are looking beyond Trudeau's horrible personality and voting to re-elect the Liberals based on their "solid and progressive record"

emphasis on the quotes

[BigSerg]

The Conservative Party has taken the plurality of the popular vote from the Liberals
Considering how they're performing, it looks likely this lead will last

Mail vote doesn't get counted until tomorrow.

It won't be enough. The conservatives will win the popular vote with a 100,000 vote lead.

[Gass3268]

Oh wow, there are still long line of people waiting to vote in Toronto.

[Drew]

CBC projects Liberal minority govt.

[Continential]

CBC projects a Liberal minority government

[Neo-Malthusian Misanthrope]

What the hell do Canadians see in this guy? He's so fake and smarmy.

IMO it's a good thing that the Canadian people are looking beyond Trudeau's horrible personality and voting to re-elect the Liberals based on their solid and progressive record in government. You have to give a lot of credit to the voters for that.

Ah, so we elected Chrystia Freeland.

[Oryxslayer]

So did reform cost the Tories or not really given they are at 5%

If you assume that all PPC votes go CPC, a fallacious one, then there are at best only a handful of seats that could change hands. Most their margin can from safe blue prairies.

[adma]

Peterborough-Kawartha looks like it is going to lose it's bellwether status thanks to Liberal incumbent Maryam Monsef's controversial statements.

Fixation upon Peterborough as an ever-reliable bellwether is about as insufferably lazy as Canadian psephology gets, so all ideology aside, I actually find this to be a bit of a relief.

[Logical]

People still lining up 3+ hours to vote. Insane. The kind of thing you expect to see in Texas not Toronto.

[Lief 🗽]

What the hell do Canadians see in this guy? He's so fake and smarmy.

IMO it's a good thing that the Canadian people are looking beyond Trudeau's horrible personality and voting to re-elect the Liberals based on their "solid and progressive record"

emphasis on the quotes

Legalizing marijuana, one of the most generous COVID stimuluses in the world, $10 a day childcare, banning guns. Seems pretty progressive to me.

[Vosem]

Unfortunately, Liberals hold Sherbrooke. Had been excited about the BQ candidate there.

What explains Liberal gains in the GTA in places like Thornhill or Markham-Unionville (where you'd think O'Toole would be a better leader than Scheer?) coupled with fairly impressive results for Conservatives in their non-GTA target seats (currently flipping Peterborough-Kawartha and Kitchener-Conestoga, and within inches in Cambridge and London West)? As an American I expected urban/rural polarization, or educated/uneducated, but what's happening in Ontario seems to be O'Toole getting decent results outside the GTA, even in educated or urban seats, while bombing within it even worse than Scheer.

And, yeah, my understanding for a while has been that Freeland is massively favored to succeed Trudeau whenever he steps aside.

[Oryxslayer]

Torys are gaining ground in rural/smalltown Ontario, losing ground in suburbs. #Trends I guess, which is both disappointing and interesting. It's early, but it appears to also have occurred in Vancouver.