2021 Canadian general election - Election Day and Results
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Author Topic: 2021 Canadian general election - Election Day and Results  (Read 62020 times)
Vosem
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« Reply #250 on: September 20, 2021, 09:01:46 PM »


No, for some reason Canada doesn't do exit polls.
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Crumpets
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« Reply #251 on: September 20, 2021, 09:02:34 PM »

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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #252 on: September 20, 2021, 09:03:13 PM »


No, for some reason Canada doesn't do exit polls.

WTF? Fake Westminster system country IMO.
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #253 on: September 20, 2021, 09:03:46 PM »


EXTREMELY misleading. That is considering seats with single digit raw vote totals. Disregard.
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MillennialModerate
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« Reply #254 on: September 20, 2021, 09:03:50 PM »

I hate how Canada networks include “leading” in there total seats.

It’s confusing as hell.

78-33 for Liberals before the West seats come in… that can’t be good, right? Or wrong?
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #255 on: September 20, 2021, 09:05:11 PM »

I hate how Canada networks include “leading” in there total seats.

It’s confusing as hell.

78-33 for Liberals before the West seats come in… that can’t be good, right? Or wrong?

There's nothing from Montreal or Toronto right now, calm down lol
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Vosem
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« Reply #256 on: September 20, 2021, 09:05:12 PM »


EXTREMELY misleading. That is considering seats with single digit raw vote totals. Disregard.

Yeah, the only thing we know outside of the Atlantic provinces is a few Tory holds in uber-Tory ridings. Very little in.

(And why isn't that "gains and losses" calculator showing the Greens in Gatineau? Very misleading IMO Tongue).
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Neo-Malthusian Misanthrope
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« Reply #257 on: September 20, 2021, 09:05:24 PM »

I hate how Canada networks include “leading” in there total seats.

It’s confusing as hell.

78-33 for Liberals before the West seats come in… that can’t be good, right? Or wrong?

Looks like about 85% of southern Ontario has reported NOTHING. Plenty of places for the Liberals to pick up seats, not to mention Montreal.
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Fubart Solman
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« Reply #258 on: September 20, 2021, 09:06:09 PM »

The Northwest Territories currently have an independent in second place with ~30% to the Liberal’s 41%. Maybe it’s the independent’s home village since it’s another 1/x precincts reporting. Something to keep an eye on though.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #259 on: September 20, 2021, 09:07:09 PM »

One thing to note from the far north is that it's pretty obvious that the First Nation reservation vote is coming in fast because of the large NDP leads. That's why things appear to go quickly compared to other 1-pll ridings.
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Neo-Malthusian Misanthrope
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« Reply #260 on: September 20, 2021, 09:07:46 PM »

(And why isn't that "gains and losses" calculator showing the Greens in Gatineau? Very misleading IMO Tongue).

They're technically at net-zero since they lost the seat where Jenica Atwin was elected as a Green.
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President Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #261 on: September 20, 2021, 09:07:46 PM »

I hate how Canada networks include “leading” in there total seats.

It’s confusing as hell.

78-33 for Liberals before the West seats come in… that can’t be good, right? Or wrong?
Yeah, it is bugging me to some degree. I guess they need to do it for #content.
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« Reply #262 on: September 20, 2021, 09:07:57 PM »

96% OF POLLS REPORTING IN NEWF. & LABR.

CURRENT POPULAR VOTE 2021

46.6% Liberal
34.1% Conservative
16.7% New Democratic
2.6% People's

COMPARISON WITH 2019

44.9% Liberal
27.9% Conservative
23.7% New Democratic
3.1% Green
0.1% People's

SWING

+1.7% Liberal
+6.2% Conservative
-7.0% New Democratic
+2.5% People's
-3.1% Green
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Vosem
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« Reply #263 on: September 20, 2021, 09:08:36 PM »

First CBC call outside of the Atlantics is Megantic-L'Erable for the Tories.
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« Reply #264 on: September 20, 2021, 09:09:24 PM »

First CBC call outside of the Atlantics is Megantic-L'Erable for the Tories.

So What are the chances of Liberals < 150 at this point
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #265 on: September 20, 2021, 09:10:00 PM »

The fastest seat to count from the drop was Mégantic-L'Érable and is called as a Con hold.

Jennifer Sloan is getting 4% in Hastings-Lennox and Addington lol.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #266 on: September 20, 2021, 09:10:32 PM »

"We certainly don't want a situation like the United States with people questioning the validity of ballots."

CBC dragging the hell out of us right now, wtf
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President Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #267 on: September 20, 2021, 09:10:34 PM »

First CBC call outside of the Atlantics is Megantic-L'Erable for the Tories.
It would have been bad for the CPC if they lost here. They won here almost 2-to-1 in 2019.
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Vosem
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« Reply #268 on: September 20, 2021, 09:10:40 PM »

(And why isn't that "gains and losses" calculator showing the Greens in Gatineau? Very misleading IMO Tongue).

They're technically at net-zero since they lost the seat where Jenica Atwin was elected as a Green.

Ah, makes sense. Liberals regain lead in Gatineau, though interestingly with a few hundred votes in Greens are still in second.
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Walmart_shopper
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« Reply #269 on: September 20, 2021, 09:12:06 PM »

The CPC candidate running in Brampton Centre is a Sikh guy named Jagdeep Singh. And he's winning. Man I hope he wins because that's too perfect.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #270 on: September 20, 2021, 09:12:54 PM »

Doesn't look like the Conservative swing in Atlantic Canada is translating to the rest of the country. RIP.
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Vosem
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« Reply #271 on: September 20, 2021, 09:13:56 PM »

Leslyn Lewis (Tory -- the out-of-nowhere black woman candidate who won the popular vote at the O'Toole vs. MacKay leadership election) regained the lead in the Safe Tory riding of Haldimand-Norfolk in rural Ontario. On the first-dozen-votes map the riding had been Liberal.

EDIT: Also, with a few hundred votes in, Greens lead in their target seat of Kitchener Centre narrowly against the NDP, with Liberal incumbent Raj Saini in third. (And I don't think this is Gatineau-level nonsense; this was considered their best possibility of a gain this time around in Canada.) Very weird that this seat was Tory at 2008/2011 given how far left it's swung since.
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Fubart Solman
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« Reply #272 on: September 20, 2021, 09:15:16 PM »

REB is still in the lead with 10/274 precincts. 38% to BQ’s 29%; 93 vote margin.
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Pericles
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« Reply #273 on: September 20, 2021, 09:15:27 PM »

Doesn't look like the Conservative swing in Atlantic Canada is translating to the rest of the country. RIP.

Not a surprise if that happens but it's still very early in?
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MR DARK BRANDON
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« Reply #274 on: September 20, 2021, 09:16:03 PM »

They should call it
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