2021 Canadian general election - Election Day and Results

[Logical]

That Gatineau result with Green leading has to be an error lol.

[Vosem]

With under 50 votes reporting (so this is worthless and I'm pointing it out just for the funny), BQ incumbent Sylvie Berube is at *sixth* place in her seat of Abitibi-Baie-James. New Democrats are currently leading the PPC 40%-29% (or, alternatively, 17 votes to 12).

Are the first results being reported some very specific sort of early vote, or are the generally good performances for the Liberals really just coincidence?

EDIT: In more "funny" results, with the first 7 votes in, Liberals lead...Beauce...with 3-1-1-1-1 over the Tories, Bernier, the BQ, and some hyper-minor party.

[Vosem]

Is it just me, or do fewer incumbents in Canada seem to run for re-election than in the US? If that's the case, is it their own choice or a nomination process thing?

There are longer terms, the position is neither as lucrative nor as prestigious (as far as I can tell), and the seats are much less safe for their incumbents. More incentives to quit, less incentives to hold on forever. Canada seems pretty normal in this regard -- it's the US which is a weird outlier in having a whole bunch of lifers in uber-safe seats. (And the UK, I guess. For an FPTP country, Canada behaves weirdly like a party-list place sometimes).

[Crumpets]

That Gatineau result with Green leading has to be an error lol.

Cue the "Virgin Fredericton vs. Chad Gatineau" memes.

[Lief 🗽]

The CBC's Asian version of Steve Kornacki is great! Strongly dislike the main anchorwoman though.

He's the Canadian John King. SMH

He has the youth of Steve Kornacki, but yes, you're right, the gravitas of a John King.

It's a shame the CBC has not been able to come up with a Canadian Wolf Blitzer to do the "key race alerts" though.

[Logical]

With under 50 votes reporting (so this is worthless and I'm pointing it out just for the funny), BQ incumbent Sylvie Berube is at *sixth* place in her seat of Abitibi-Temiscamingue. New Democrats are currently leading the PPC 40%-29% (or, alternatively, 17 votes to 12).

Are the first results being reported some very specific sort of early vote, or are the generally good performances for the Liberals really just coincidence?

That poll probably came from a native reserve. The bloc's strength is from the southern more populated parts like Val d'Or.

[Neo-Malthusian Misanthrope]

That Gatineau result with Green leading has to be an error lol.

Even crazier is some random minor party is in second place. Odd precinct perhaps?

[MaxQue]

That Gatineau result with Green leading has to be an error lol.

Even crazier is some random minor party is in second place. Odd precinct perhaps?

Probably an error, but that random minor party actually put up signs with a picture of the candidate in my riding (unlike the PPC, who did nothing). I would not be surprised to see them outpolling the PPC in rural Quebec.

[It’s so Joever]

From suburb to the most based part of Canada.
The story of Gatineau.

[Vosem]

Returning to the Atlantics for a bit, Globe & Mail calls Miramichi-Grand Lake as a Conservative gain from the Liberals. Atwin is leading in Fredericton again, though.

[Crumpets]

Going solely by current leading candidate, NDP is +3 overall, LPC is at no net change, and CPC is down 1. Stop the count!

[MaxQue]

Returning to the Atlantics for a bit, Globe & Mail calls Miramichi-Grand Lake as a Conservative gain from the Liberals. Atwin is leading in Fredericton again, though.

Calling a seat with a 350 votes lead and only 1/3 counted? They are out of their minds.

[Walmart_shopper]

The Frederickton seat just flipped back to the Grits, so the CPC haul from the Atlantics may be only 7 seats. Honestly pretty solid results for the Libs so far.

[Хahar 🤔]

Obviously, it's still early on, but is it possible that any LPC to CPC flips in the Atlantic provinces could be balanced by any CPC to LPC flips in the Prairies? Note, I'm quite the novice at following Canadian election results.

The Tory-held seats in Alberta the Liberals are targeting are Edmonton Centre, Edmonton Mill Woods, and Calgary Skyview, all of which are seats that were Liberal in 2015. In Saskatchewan they're targeting Wascana, but that's not going to happen. All the polling suggests that the Liberals will get crushed in British Columbia, so it'd be a good night for them if they broke even in the West.

I forgot to mention Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River in Saskatchewan; the Liberal candidate there, Buckley Belanger, was a longtime NDP MLA, and his switching parties and switching to Ottawa suggests that he's being picked out as future ministerial material. I'd be surprised if he didn't win.

[brucejoel99]

The CBC's Asian version of Steve Kornacki is great! Strongly dislike the main anchorwoman though.

He's the Canadian John King. SMH

He has the youth of Steve Kornacki, but yes, you're right, the gravitas of a John King.

It's a shame the CBC has not been able to come up with a Canadian Wolf Blitzer to do the "key race alerts" though.

That should just be Peter Mansbridge with his new beard. "Bring back Peter," I say!!

[Oryxslayer]

First poll in Edmonton center is a Lib lead of 4 voters with a total of about 200. Real story though is PPC at 2%. Compared to the 7-9% in rural Manitoba, theres looking like a regional split in the Tories favor/Lib+NDP's disadvantage.

[Neo-Malthusian Misanthrope]

The Frederickton seat just flipped back to the Grits, so the CPC haul from the Atlantics may be only 7 seats. Honestly pretty solid results for the Libs so far.

Just went back to the Tories, with a lead of 3. It's gonna go down to the wire for sure.

[OSR stands with Israel]

So is it likely gonna be a repeat of 2019 at this point

[Vosem]

Returning to the Atlantics for a bit, Globe & Mail calls Miramichi-Grand Lake as a Conservative gain from the Liberals. Atwin is leading in Fredericton again, though.

Calling a seat with a 350 votes lead and only 1/3 counted? They are out of their minds.

First call outside of the Atlantics, obviously from G&M: the pretty safe rural Manitoban seat of Selkirk-Interlake-Eastman as a Tory hold.

Manitoba isn't Alberta/Saskatchewan, but the PPC doesn't really seem much stronger here than anywhere else. Feels very UKIP-ish in their surge manifesting everywhere but not really being localized to anywhere.

EDIT: Also, didn't realize the Liberals recruited very longtime provincial Saskatchewan MLA Buckley Belanger to be their candidate for Desnethe-Missinippi-Churchill River. Probably makes the riding one of their best pickup opportunities in the West.

EDIT TWO: Again per G&M, first calls in Quebec: Tories hold their safe seat of Megantic-L'Erable. Also, they called Liberals holding Gaspesie-Iles-de-la-Madeleine, which seems kind of bold since that's still close against the BQ and only 25% has been counted.

[Pouring Rain and Blairing Music]

First results from Berthier-Maskinongé have REB in the lead. Stop the count!

[Dr. Arch]

I know it’s dangerous to judge based off Atlantic Canada but… based on that. Woof

Conservative plurality and days of negotiations it is

Looking pretty bad for that "Conservative plurality".

How could you be so consistently wrong about elections? You must be doing it on purpose at this point. I would've stopped trying long ago.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Charlesbourg-Haute-Saint-Charles
2/242 polls reported

Pierre
Paul-Hus
Conservative
Incumbent
25.0 %

3 votes

René-Paul
Coly
Liberal
25.0 %

3 votes

Marie-Christine
Lamontagne
Bloc Québécois
25.0 %

3 votes

Hilarious to see a three-way tie of three votes.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Polls close in British Columbia.

[Holmes]

Charlie Angus at 88%. My mom must be upset.

[Lief 🗽]

Is there an exit poll released now?