2021 Canadian general election - Election Day and Results

[rc18]

CPC lead Fredericton!

[Holmes]

Um look at Fredericton

[Vosem]

Tory GAIN South Shore-St. Margaret's, in Nova Scotia. First flip of the night. Polls have closed in Quebec.

EDIT: With 70% in, Tory lead is growing in Coast of Bays. Upset?

What source are you using

https://www.theglobeandmail.com/politics/federal-election/2021-results/

Has the best-organized presentation, though I have the CBC website open in a different tab and I think they're a little bit ahead. G&M is much easier to understand, though.

[super6646]

Cumberland another pickup.

[Continential]

Tory GAIN South Shore-St. Margaret's, in Nova Scotia. First flip of the night. Polls have closed in Quebec.

EDIT: With 70% in, Tory lead is growing in Coast of Bays. Upset?

What source are you using

https://newsinteractives.cbc.ca/elections/federal/2021/results/

[MR DARK BRANDON]

How do people look at otoole and say “yeah, I want that guy to lead me”

[super6646]

Coast of bays called for the Cons. Major upset.

[Oryxslayer]

With the partial results so far Atlantic Canada, what are the odds of a CPC minority govt?

Probably low.

My Atlantic number is Con+7 or more for a change in government. Right now its Con+5 with leads, not the all of the 5 I would have expected. Depends on the the peculiarities of New Brunswick if we will hit that benchmark.

[Holmes]

How do people look at otoole and say “yeah, I want that guy to lead me”

Because they look at Trudeau and say “yeah, I don’t want that guy to lead me”

[Vosem]

Tories GAIN Coast of Bays -- first Newfoundland seat they've won since 2011!

Was totally unexpected, too -- 338 thought they had a chance at Labrador, but they're way behind there. Would've been a Liberal-in-2011 seat, too, had it existed.

EDIT: Libs hold Egmont, Central Nova, Halifax West, Madawaska-Restigouche.

[jaichind]

why does CPC have 34 seats with leads ? I thought there was only 1 Quebec riding in the Atlantic time zone ?

[Vosem]

Libs hold Dartmouth-Cole Harbor and Sackville-Preston-Chezzetcook. Bad signs for the NDP, though they're now creeping back up in St. John's East; were down 4%, now down just 2%. Around half the vote left to be counted there.

Tories hold New Brunswick Southwest. Not very surprising.

[jaichind]

why does CPC have 34 seats with leads ? I thought there was only 1 Quebec riding in the Atlantic time zone ?

CBC just seems to have explained my question .. It seems it is a mistake

[jaichind]

CPC lead Fredericton!

That would be so funny if the GCP LPC and NDP split lets the CPC in.

[Oryxslayer]

why does CPC have 34 seats with leads ? I thought there was only 1 Quebec riding in the Atlantic time zone ?

Their just saying now. Some provinces have the in-person data backlogged into the system and they accidently released then retracted. They arn't telling where cause security of the vote.

[MaxQue]

why does CPC have 34 seats with leads ? I thought there was only 1 Quebec riding in the Atlantic time zone ?

Their just saying now. Some provinces have the in-person data backlogged into the system and they accidently released then retracted. They arn't telling where cause security of the vote.

From the website, it was Brampton East.

[Хahar 🤔]

Obviously, it's still early on, but is it possible that any LPC to CPC flips in the Atlantic provinces could be balanced by any CPC to LPC flips in the Prairies? Note, I'm quite the novice at following Canadian election results.

The Tory-held seats in Alberta the Liberals are targeting are Edmonton Centre, Edmonton Mill Woods, and Calgary Skyview, all of which are seats that were Liberal in 2015. In Saskatchewan they're targeting Wascana, but that's not going to happen. All the polling suggests that the Liberals will get crushed in British Columbia, so it'd be a good night for them if they broke even in the West.

[Vosem]

Atwin back up in Fredericton, but just 34%-33% with 16% counted. Interestingly the replacement Green candidate there is holding up decently well.

[sting in the rafters]

Does St. John's East have a high proportion of absentee votes? Wondering why they're barely half reported while every other Newfoundland riding is over 2/3rds in.

[Mike88]

Long Range Mountains called for the Libs. Hold. Here, the PPC hurted the CPC vote.

[Suburbia]

How do people look at otoole and say “yeah, I want that guy to lead me”

Because they look at Trudeau and say “yeah, I don’t want that guy to lead me”

Was Trudeau too smug?

[Vosem]

Does St. John's East have a high proportion of absentee votes? Wondering why they're barely half reported while every other Newfoundland riding is over 2/3rds in.

Possible; with Halifax trailing the rest of Nova Scotia, and urban areas in New Brunswick also trailing the rest of the province.

Bad sign for how exciting the rest of the night will be, since most of Canada is more urban than the Atlantic provinces.

Liberals hold Moncton.

[MaxQue]

Does St. John's East have a high proportion of absentee votes? Wondering why they're barely half reported while every other Newfoundland riding is over 2/3rds in.

Urban seats have less voting sections, but they are more populated.

[NYSforKennedy2024]

NDP performance once again reinforcing my hot take on here that DemSoc is dying on the global scale despite it getting more popular against the axis on YouTube, Twitter, and Twitch.

These kids just don't know how to actually run a campaign and VOTE.

[Oryxslayer]

Does St. John's East have a high proportion of absentee votes? Wondering why they're barely half reported while every other Newfoundland riding is over 2/3rds in.

Urban seats have less voting sections, but they are more populated.

Yes. Extreme urban rural density divides mean you need more polls in rural areas just to reach everyone. Same reason why every one-horse county in Nebraska has 4 precincts for 1K people. Add in the poll closing cause of Coronavirus, and urbans may take longer.