2021 Canadian general election - Election Day and Results

[super6646]

South shore first Con pickup.

[Person Man]

How is it looking right now?

[Mexican Wolf]

Obviously, it's still early on, but is it possible that any LPC to CPC flips in the Atlantic provinces could be balanced by any CPC to LPC flips in the Prairies? Note, I'm quite the novice at following Canadian election results.

[Oryxslayer]

CBC shows Trudeau and his family in his home, the guy has a "WTF is going on" fake smile right now. Kids are having a good time though, 

[Vosem]

Tory GAIN South Shore-St. Margaret's, in Nova Scotia. First flip of the night. Polls have closed in Quebec.

EDIT: With 70% in, Tory lead is growing in Coast of Bays. Upset?

[Baki]

How is it looking right now?

Ambiguous.

[Independents for Nihilism]

CPC picking up seats in NS bodes very well for them. Colchester is still a solid lead, I believe north Cape Breton is leapfrogging as well. TBH if the Tories pull off a minority tonight I'll change my avatar to blue.

Surprised by the NDP weakness. Seems like Jagmeet was out east campaigning with somebody every other weekend.

Also, first Bloc seat reporting from Ile de Madeleine!

[TheTide]

The popular vote seems a wee bit closer than it should be (based upon viewing this from a leftish perspective), but then I'm an amateur compared to most in this thread when it comes to Canadian election returns.

[The Free North]

CBC shows Trudeau and his family in his home, the guy has a "WTF is going on" fake smile right now. Kids are having a good time though, 

He seems like a a decent dude but gives off very Clintonesque fake vibes.

[Vosem]

Obviously, it's still early on, but is it possible that any LPC to CPC flips in the Atlantic provinces could be balanced by any CPC to LPC flips in the Prairies? Note, I'm quite the novice at following Canadian election results.

In the Prairies, probably not, but in the Greater Toronto Area it's not out of the question.

[Oryxslayer]

Obviously, it's still early on, but is it possible that any LPC to CPC flips in the Atlantic provinces could be balanced by any CPC to LPC flips in the Prairies? Note, I'm quite the novice at following Canadian election results.

Not really, the NDP are the main beneficiaries of any Prairie movements for the PPC, with maybe 3 Liberals in striking distance total, 5 if you include Winnipeg. NDP is better in the west, LPC in the east.

[An American Tail: Fubart Goes West]

Obviously, it's still early on, but is it possible that any LPC to CPC flips in the Atlantic provinces could be balanced by any CPC to LPC flips in the Prairies? Note, I'm quite the novice at following Canadian election results.

That’s my thought (though some CPC losses could go to the NDP out west), but idk.

Also, time for the disclaimer that I’m not from PEI, let alone Canada.

[Secretary of State Liberal Hack]

Obviously, it's still early on, but is it possible that any LPC to CPC flips in the Atlantic provinces could be balanced by any CPC to LPC flips in the Prairies? Note, I'm quite the novice at following Canadian election results.

Zero, The Praries give conservatives ridiculous margins. They got nort of 85% of the vote in some of those seats. The main threat in those seats in the CPC loosing to a new more right wing party, not the liberals.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

How is it looking right now?

Well, a Lib majority is definitely not happening. They'll still probably win, though.

[Thunder98 🇮🇱 🤝 🇵🇸]

With the partial results so far Atlantic Canada, what are the odds of a CPC minority govt?

[Vosem]

Libs hold Charlottetown, Cape Breton-Canso, Halifax West, and Acadie-Bathurst.

Long Range Mountains also called for Libs, even though they're up just 43%-41% with 71% reporting? The other calls seem fine, but once again seems premature in Newfoundland. (OTOH Bonavista-Burin-Trinity was called for the Libs right before they started running away with it, so maybe the CBC just knows things I don't).

[Mike88]

Bonavista-Burin-Trinity called for the Libs. Hold.

[Mike88]

Polls from Quebec to Alberta close at the top of the hour, right?

[Vosem]

Pattern in a lot of these Atlantic provinces Lib/NDP marginals seems to be that the earliest results are strongest for the NDP and then the Liberals start gaining (or, at least, this has now happened in St. John's East, Dartmouth-Cole Harbor, and Sackville-Preston). Any Canadian know why this might be the case?

[Holmes]

With the partial results so far Atlantic Canada, what are the odds of a CPC minority govt?

Probably low.

[Thunder98 🇮🇱 🤝 🇵🇸]

Small is pulling it away now, over 1000 vote lead.

[OSR stands with Israel]

Tory GAIN South Shore-St. Margaret's, in Nova Scotia. First flip of the night. Polls have closed in Quebec.

EDIT: With 70% in, Tory lead is growing in Coast of Bays. Upset?

What source are you using

[Baki]

The CBC poll-tracker had the Lib lead in the Atlantic at about +12%.
The results so far are about Lib +9%.

[Logical]

1 thousand vote lead in Coast of Bays-Central-Notre Dame for CPC. Lead has been growing all night too. Safe to call it for them I think.

[Vosem]

Tory hold Fundy Royal; not very surprising.

Early results from Gaspesie are good for the Bloc, but they're probably from the Isles de la Madeleine, which are in a different time-zone than the rest of the riding and are a Bloc stronghold (I remember them voting BQ even in 2015 when the party as a whole was doing quite poorly).

EDIT: Kings-Hants is a Liberal hold; was a long-shot Tory pickup possibility but it's not one of the parts of the Atlantics where they're doing well tonight.