VA- Wapo/schar school poll- McAuliffe +3 among LV, +6 among RV

[BoiseBoy]

That's two Polls in a row showing a close Race! Bidens Approvals must be underwater otherwise this wouldn't be close.

Polls showed CA under 20 points consistently. Look where we are now. We should know by now that polls are not entirely reliable. The unfortunate reality is that Youngkin is a bad candidate who doesn’t know how to campaign. Expect 2017 margins here.

[BoiseBoy]

That's two Polls in a row showing a close Race! Bidens Approvals must be underwater otherwise this wouldn't be close.

Polls showed CA under 20 points consistently. Look where we are now. We should know by now that polls are not entirely reliable. The unfortunate reality is that Youngkin is a bad candidate who doesn’t know how to campaign. Expect 2017 margins here.

VA isn't CA. Biden still had 56-41 positive JA in CA Exit Polls.

This Poll has him 46/51 in VA. If that's right the Race will be much closer to the 2013 margin than the 2017 margin!

You should know by now that polls can't be 100% trusted (see 2020 and 2016 presidential elections). There are other elements to the race than what a bunch of predictive numbers are stating.

[BoiseBoy]

That's two Polls in a row showing a close Race! Bidens Approvals must be underwater otherwise this wouldn't be close.

Polls showed CA under 20 points consistently. Look where we are now. We should know by now that polls are not entirely reliable. The unfortunate reality is that Youngkin is a bad candidate who doesn’t know how to campaign. Expect 2017 margins here.

Why are you so confident the number will be like 2017 when that was 4 years ago during trumps term?

I think Youngkin is genuinely that bad, likely to lose by a bigger margin that expected even during what should be a more GOP-friendly cycle. He is not playing his cards right at all, especially for a state like Virginia. I don't think the margin will be as high as 2017, but 5-6 points is perfectly reasonable.