I think this is too low of a margin considering Virginia’s partisan lean, which is only getting more Democratic by the cycle. Still think McAuliffe wins by 10.
As we saw in California, Dems successfully nationalized that race to make it about Trump (fair or not), rendering Biden irrelevant. As a result, they matched their 2020 margins. No one should be surprised if the same occurs here.
They’ll run that playbook until they can’t. It won’t be anytime soon bc they know it works. Trump is the best turnout machine for Democrats
Maybe?
VA doesn't have automatic VBM, but they do have a 45 day in-person early voting period.
I don’t believe the method is relevant. VA voters generally are engaged on the whole.
