How would the previous poster fare in your constituency/congressional district?
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  How would the previous poster fare in your constituency/congressional district?		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: How would the previous poster fare in your constituency/congressional district?  (Read 1938 times)
NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #25 on: October 13, 2021, 07:09:51 AM »
NY-4

Well, I can't see him beating Kathleen Rice, either in a Democratic Primary or a general election, as she's relatively popular.
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GregTheGreat657
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #26 on: December 16, 2021, 07:25:54 PM »
NY-22

Would lose by a couple of points, as he would be seen as too liberal for the district
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West_Midlander
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #27 on: December 16, 2021, 08:12:39 PM »
New NC-02--He would win by a couple of points in an R favorable environment/2022; pure tossup in a neutral environment.
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GregTheGreat657
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #28 on: December 18, 2021, 08:53:04 PM »
NY-22. Would win by several points due to his center-right populism
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GregTheGreat657
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #29 on: February 21, 2022, 07:25:32 PM »
Bump
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President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
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« Reply #30 on: March 18, 2022, 05:30:31 PM »
My current district is TX-3.
GregtheGreat would win here by high single digits.
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West_Midlander
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #31 on: March 18, 2022, 06:47:26 PM »
Loses 35%-40% to Erica Smith in the primary in 2022. If he won the nomination, he would win by 0.5% in the general if the election was held today and he would win by more in a neutral/D favorable cycle.
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West_Midlander
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #32 on: December 06, 2022, 03:27:22 PM »
Bumping this and I will also give my answer for Greg (third to last poster, skipping myself and TimTurner who I already answered for).

If Greg runs an aggressive campaign, being pragmatic and non-fringe unlike Sandy Smith (R-NC-01), I think he could win by <1% in a 2022 environment.
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Liminal Trans Girl
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« Reply #33 on: December 06, 2022, 04:54:19 PM »
Could come close in the Dem Primary(TX-35)
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #34 on: December 06, 2022, 07:16:15 PM »
It would depend on the environment and year. In a Democratic year they would probably win narrowly, would be 50-50 in a neutral year (maybe slightly favored), and would lose in a GOP year. The parts of NJ-5 in Passaic, Sussex, and northern Bergen County would not take kindly to an open Socialist running no matter what.
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Dani Rose
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« Reply #35 on: December 07, 2022, 03:41:42 AM »
I think MN-01 has officially left the column forever, so he'd probably lose by ten to twelve percent, like Ettinger.
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Vice President Christian Man
Christian Man
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« Reply #36 on: January 12, 2023, 12:27:18 AM »
She'd lead for a while and then probably end up losing when it's revealed she's a fraud but she'll likely still get at least 40, maybe 45% of the vote against a Generic R.
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GregTheGreat657
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #37 on: January 12, 2023, 09:48:06 AM »
Wins by a little over 20%
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Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
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« Reply #38 on: January 12, 2023, 09:59:21 AM »
Extremely poorly for being a GOPer. Newly drawn CA-19 voted 70% of Biden and 71% against Recall. Even worse in the city of Santa Cruz.
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Liminal Trans Girl
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« Reply #39 on: January 13, 2023, 10:15:59 AM »
Would easily win
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GregTheGreat657
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #40 on: January 16, 2023, 12:15:41 AM »
Loses by about 20
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West_Midlander
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #41 on: January 24, 2023, 06:29:22 PM »
Loses by 0.2% in 2022
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President of the great nation of 🏳️‍⚧️
Peebs
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« Reply #42 on: January 24, 2023, 06:34:58 PM »
As a Republican, loses by 25-ish.
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Liminal Trans Girl
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« Reply #43 on: February 15, 2023, 11:53:30 AM »
wins by 50 points
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West_Midlander
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #44 on: February 15, 2023, 12:02:00 PM »
Loses to Don Davis with 20-30% of the vote in the Democratic primary.

Loses by 3% in a neutral environment in the general election as the Democratic nominee.

Wins 0.5% as a third-party candidate.
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