How would the previous poster fare in your constituency/congressional district?
West_Midlander:
Let's say Peebs was the first poster. I think she would have an innate disadvantage in a primary in NC-04 due to being trans, though this effect will probably lessen with time. I think she would receive about 26% of the vote in an open primary with the winner receiving 32-33%. In a primary against Rep. Price she would win 22-23% of the vote. She would easily win the general election if nominated.
GregTheGreat657:
NY-22. Very well. He would be strong with the large WWC portion of the district. If he ran as a Republican, he would easily primary Tenney, due to him being authentically pro-Trump. He would win the general as a GOPer by about 20, but he would not get past the primary as a Dem, due to not being left wing enough.
Progressive Pessimist:
Would probably lose by the high single digits.
West_Midlander:
Quote from: Progressive Pessimist on September 13, 2021, 05:29:06 PM
Would probably lose by the high single digits.
What district?
(SKIP)
Progressive Pessimist:
Quote from: West_Midlander on September 13, 2021, 05:58:37 PM
Quote from: Progressive Pessimist on September 13, 2021, 05:29:06 PM
Would probably lose by the high single digits.
What district?
(SKIP)
Oh, sorry. I forgot. NJ-5.
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