CA Recall - SurveyUSA/San Diego Union-Tribune - No +13
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  CA Recall - SurveyUSA/San Diego Union-Tribune - No +13
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Author Topic: CA Recall - SurveyUSA/San Diego Union-Tribune - No +13  (Read 693 times)
Gass3268
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« on: September 09, 2021, 03:22:39 PM »

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Pedocon Theory is not a theory
CalamityBlue
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« Reply #1 on: September 09, 2021, 03:41:10 PM »

Comparing the crosstabs, biggest shifts from the previous SurveyUSA poll seem to be:

18-34s: Yes+13 to No+6 (No +19)
Liberals (5-scale): No+53 to No+72 (No +19)
Central Valley: Yes+4 to No+12 (No +16)
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DrScholl
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« Reply #2 on: September 09, 2021, 03:47:19 PM »

Plus five for no from the last poll. If this really is a blowout then Republicans will have handed themselves an unnecessary off year loss.

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Stand With Israel. Crush Hamas
Ray Goldfield
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« Reply #3 on: September 09, 2021, 03:48:29 PM »

The only x-factor here is if Dem turnout is very low, but I really doubt it'll be THAT low.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #4 on: September 09, 2021, 03:50:49 PM »

Safe Remain.

I was being questioned for this rating last month, though it now seems perfectly fitting. Democrats are coming home.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #5 on: September 09, 2021, 04:02:38 PM »

Larry Elder got too comfortable and made many gaffes along the way
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #6 on: September 09, 2021, 05:07:39 PM »

The outcome of this race is a foregone conclusion. The big question is whether recall can even break 40%.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #7 on: September 09, 2021, 06:29:20 PM »

Larry Elder got too comfortable and made many gaffes along the way

Or voters just got to become familiar with him. It's pretty hard to run a campaign against California becoming expensively unlivable under Democrats when your leading replacement candidate is loud and proud about abolishing the minimum wage. The Republicans failed to put two-and-two together on that, assuming that base turnout alone and Democratic complacency could causer an upset here. They will be proven wrong about that next week, and will deserve it.
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DaleCooper
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« Reply #8 on: September 11, 2021, 12:16:36 PM »

Larry Elder got too comfortable and made many gaffes along the way

Or voters just got to become familiar with him. It's pretty hard to run a campaign against California becoming expensively unlivable under Democrats when your leading replacement candidate is loud and proud about abolishing the minimum wage. The Republicans failed to put two-and-two together on that, assuming that base turnout alone and Democratic complacency could causer an upset here. They will be proven wrong about that next week, and will deserve it.

Trump's win has convinced a lot of Republicans that any old troll can win any election if he panders to the base. It was always going to be an uphill, near impossible battle to get a Republican elected governor of California in 2021, but the one surefire way to turn those odds into practically 0% was to nationalize the race and run an insane conservative media pundit. Someone made comparisons to Kentucky 2019 or Alabama 2017, and it'd be like if the Democrats ran an MSNBC commentator and championed endorsements from people like Pelosi or AOC.
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