ME - SurveyUSA/Swing Hard Turn Left (D): Mills +5

[VAR]

August 24-31, 1242 RV, MoE: 3.5%

This poll was conducted for a progressive organization that’d like state Senate President Troy Jackson to primary Mills. For this reason, the Mills vs Jackson Democratic primary matchup is essentially a push poll (Mills vs LePage is not.)

Democratic primary
Janet Mills (inc) 56%
Troy Jackson 23%

General election
Janet Mills (D-inc) 46%
Paul LePage (R) 41%

Link

[MT Treasurer]

I’ve always suspected that NH/ME were prime candidates for a considerable rightward shift in 2022, more so than other swing states except maybe MI. There are D-friendly countertrends in both states, but I maintain that ME-GOV in particular is more likely to flip than MN-GOV/NM-GOV (both of which could be closer than expected, though).

[President Johnson]

Likely Democratic. Closer to lean than safe.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We already know Mills is safe we need a MA Gov race poll