MN - Change Research (D)/MinnPost: Walz +3
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  MN - Change Research (D)/MinnPost: Walz +3		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: MN - Change Research (D)/MinnPost: Walz +3  (Read 1166 times)
neostassenite31
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« on: September 08, 2021, 08:01:58 PM »
« edited: September 11, 2021, 12:56:05 PM by neostassenite31 »
08/28/21 - 08/31/21, 1945 RV, MoE: 2.5%

WITHOUT LEANERS:

Tim Walz (D-inc) 44%
Generic Republican 41%

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1kJVx9MGMRyi2O3Gl4Z4OG7ekb_D860bIpZWBsje73Yo/edit#gid=1849982607

WITH LEANERS INCLUDED:

Tim Walz (D-inc) 46%
Generic Republican 44%
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #1 on: September 09, 2021, 12:10:54 PM »
Tilt D.
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neostassenite31
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« Reply #2 on: September 11, 2021, 12:53:29 PM »
More crosstabs:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1TXHSDHAXZkNYUQGqOeazx5TmgWtNY1AIv2ctpjRzEug/edit#gid=0

Also, note Klobuchar's approval rating
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #3 on: September 11, 2021, 02:10:50 PM »
Biden favorability: 42/51 (-9)
Trump favorability: 41/53 (-12)

Walz favorability: 44/48 (-4)
Walz approval: 50/50
Klobuchar favorability: 42/45 (-3)
Smith favorability: 34/35 (-1)
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President Johnson
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« Reply #4 on: September 11, 2021, 02:13:04 PM »
Quote from: MT Treasurer on September 11, 2021, 02:10:50 PM
Biden favorability: 42/51 (-9)
Trump favorability: 41/53 (-12)

Walz favorability: 44/48 (-4)
Walz approval: 50/50
Klobuchar favorability: 42/45 (-3)
Smith favorability: 34/35 (-1)

If accurate, these numbers would be disastrous. I doubt it, unless proven otherwise. Especially for Klobuchar, as she repeatedely won landslide elections including many red counties. A -3 favorability and in the 40s is questionable.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #5 on: September 11, 2021, 06:57:39 PM »
D's Approvals as re ent gonna be like this on Nov 2022, their gonna go up
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Chips
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« Reply #6 on: September 11, 2021, 07:54:51 PM »
Seems like a race the GOP could definitely win if the national environment goes down the drain for the Dems. Walz is favored right now though. Lean D.
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kwabbit
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« Reply #7 on: September 11, 2021, 10:51:09 PM »
Polls against a generic candidate are next to useless. Why not poll against Lindell at the minimum?

Walz +3 is certainly a reasonable result however, although I don't buy that Klobuchar is underwater, not at all. It seems like polls often underestimate the goodwill for long-time senators. Grassley in 2016, Collins and Cornyn this year, etc. I bet she's still around +10 even if her presidential run made her less popular in the state.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #8 on: September 12, 2021, 05:00:45 AM »
Wow, that's shockingly bad.
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LiberalDem19
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« Reply #9 on: September 12, 2021, 01:57:36 PM »
I promise you that Mike Murphy does not have 38% name recognition. I don’t even know who he is
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #10 on: September 14, 2021, 05:15:11 AM »
Add 6% to Walz' support even at this stage as an incumbent running a spirited and competent campaign, and he wins.
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