OH, GOV: Redfield & Wilton: DeWine +19 against Whaley, +22 Against Cranley

[NewYorkExpress]

https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/the-view-from-ohio-approval-of-political-leaders-and-hypothetical-voting-intention/

Unlike Senator Rob Portman, Ohio’s Republican Governor Mike DeWine has announced he will seek re-election in the state’s 2022 Gubernatorial Election. Currently, DeWine enjoys a significantly positive net approval rating of +28%, with 54% approving and 26% disapproving of his job performance thus far. These results are all the more remarkable given that not only 48% of 2020 Trump voters but an even higher proportion of 61% of 2020 Biden voters approve of the Republican Governor’s job performance.

Mike DeWine thus appears well-positioned to win re-election. Our hypothetical voting intention poll finds that, after weighting by likelihood to vote, 46% would vote for DeWine and 27% would vote for current Mayor of Dayton Nan Whaley, were she to be the Democratic Party’s nominee for Governor. Similarly, 47% would vote for DeWine if he were to run against Democratic Mayor of Cincinnati John Cranley, for whom 25% would currently vote. A respective 16% and 15% of respondents say they don’t know how they would vote in these hypothetical Gubernatorial Election scenarios.

The areas in which respondents convey the highest levels of approval of Mike DeWine’s performance are the coronavirus pandemic (54%), the economy (44%), and addressing unemployment (41%). Pluralities also approve of the Governor’s performance on crime/policing (38%), taxes (35%), and the environment (34%). Housing (33%) and immigration (29%) are the only policy areas in which approval is not the plurality position, as a respective 34% and 36% of respondents say they neither approve nor disapprove of the Governor’s performance on these issues.

That approval outweighs disapproval in all policy areas, however, further suggests that significant proportions of Ohio residents are largely satisfied with their Governor’s performance. Notably, partisan differences in views are minimal, indicating that this general satisfaction with his performance is a bipartisan phenomenon. In a swing state such as Ohio, this finding is all the more noteworthy.

[President Johnson]

Safe Republican with DeWine. The big question is whether he wins his primary. And I'm far less confident of that.

[SnowLabrador]

Safe R.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Safe Republican with DeWine. The big question is whether he wins his primary. And I'm far less confident of that.

Ryan is winning against Vance

[smoltchanov]

Safe R.

Only with DeWine, who, unlike his primary opponents, is a conservative, but sane. In the last years that became rarity among Republican candidates..

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This state split between Gov and Sen back in 2018

[Hope For A New Era]

Pretty clear that the election is only a formality.

Honestly, I don't mind.

[Calthrina950]

The gubernatorial race is Safe R in the general, but it is still unknown whether or not DeWine will win his primary. We must hope that he does, because I believe a primary challenger would probably be a less palatable Republican.