Emerson National Poll ( Biden - Trump, Biden - Romney, Biden - DeSantis).
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 29, 2024, 09:58:52 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2024 U.S. Presidential Election
  2024 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, GeorgiaModerate, KoopaDaQuick 🇵🇸)
  Emerson National Poll ( Biden - Trump, Biden - Romney, Biden - DeSantis).
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Emerson National Poll ( Biden - Trump, Biden - Romney, Biden - DeSantis).  (Read 2142 times)
AncestralDemocrat.
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,416
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: September 02, 2021, 05:28:45 PM »

Logged
MR DARK BRANDON
Liam
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,234
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -0.65, S: -1.57

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: September 02, 2021, 05:45:04 PM »

Trump up but Desantis down 12? Ok?
Logged
Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,199
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: September 02, 2021, 05:46:14 PM »

Romney? Really?
Logged
S019
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,329
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -1.39

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: September 02, 2021, 05:48:21 PM »

Emerson uses MTurk, this alone means their polling should not be taken seriously
Logged
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,745


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: September 02, 2021, 05:48:52 PM »

Remember when Romney was the most electable Republican? LOL.
Logged
Vaccinated Russian Bear
Russian Bear
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,106
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: September 02, 2021, 07:16:47 PM »

Logged
NewYorkExpress
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,817
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: September 02, 2021, 07:44:24 PM »

Why the **** are they polling Romney?
Logged
Senator-elect Spark
Spark498
Atlas Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,714
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.58, S: 0.00

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: September 02, 2021, 09:12:27 PM »

This is a warning sign for Biden. Luckily he has enough time to turn it around.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,720
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: September 03, 2021, 04:17:21 AM »

Sure Emerson, D's will run ads on Insurrectionists over and over again


But Biden isn't Landslide Biden just like Hillary wasn't, it was always a 268 map with WI becomes the tipping pt state


Polls in 2016 had showed that Bernie would do better than Hillary would in Ezi
Logged
Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,717
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: September 03, 2021, 08:49:05 AM »

The numbers by comparison alltogether make little sense, and even if Trump were to win >270 EVs again, he'd for sure not win the NPV.

At this point I believe we shouldn't take any polling serious anymore, whether it's the 2020 election, CA recall, what we're seeing out of FL (DeSantis up double digits, then down 5 pts) etc., no matter which party is leading: Polling in America sucks.
Logged
THG
TheTarHeelGent
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,181
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: September 03, 2021, 09:12:19 AM »

The numbers by comparison alltogether make little sense, and even if Trump were to win >270 EVs again, he'd for sure not win the NPV.

At this point I believe we shouldn't take any polling serious anymore, whether it's the 2020 election, CA recall, what we're seeing out of FL (DeSantis up double digits, then down 5 pts) etc., no matter which party is leading: Polling in America sucks.

100%. It’s absurdly terrible.

Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,720
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: September 03, 2021, 09:14:40 AM »

The Afghanistan pullout tumbled Biden numbers in wave insurance seays not on the Rust Belt where Trump is polarizing force due to Insurrection and he barely won them due to BENGHAZI HILLARY and Gary Johnson
Logged
Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,199
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: September 03, 2021, 06:15:40 PM »

The numbers by comparison alltogether make little sense, and even if Trump were to win >270 EVs again, he'd for sure not win the NPV.

At this point I believe we shouldn't take any polling serious anymore, whether it's the 2020 election, CA recall, what we're seeing out of FL (DeSantis up double digits, then down 5 pts) etc., no matter which party is leading: Polling in
America sucks.[/b]

This in general is true.
Logged
Alben Barkley
KYWildman
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,282
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.97, S: -5.74

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: September 03, 2021, 09:08:42 PM »

Since this poll is meaningless at this point anyway, I'm just more amused at the Romney result than anything else. Whew, what a fall from winning 47% (always thought that was ironic) in 2012!
Logged
Suburbia
bronz4141
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,666
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: September 06, 2021, 02:32:39 PM »

This is a warning sign for Biden. Luckily he has enough time to turn it around.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,720
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: September 07, 2021, 08:54:05 AM »

This poll is today, a rally around the flag will happen 2022/2024
Logged
brucejoel99
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,720
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -3.30

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: September 08, 2021, 09:06:25 PM »

Obligatory Memerson, but DeSantis is soo screwed if he was polling 12 behind Biden in late Aug., when Biden's approvals - presuming that his post-withdrawal polling decline inevitably stops freefalling - reached the lowest point of his presidency, all the while none other than Trump was literally beating him (even though it's just by 1, & thus obviously within the MoE).
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,720
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: September 09, 2021, 08:09:26 PM »

DeSantis isn't 10 pts behind and Trump is ahead its 50/46 Biden, Biden is tracking very close to his Approvals last time
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,102
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: September 12, 2021, 05:15:22 AM »


That's just name ID.
Logged
Vaccinated Russian Bear
Russian Bear
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,106
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: September 14, 2021, 06:45:15 AM »


True, but it doesn't mean, it sucks blindly. It's pretty clear, that the polling error depends to a larger extant, that there is bigger and bigger share of [mostly not so well-educated] voters that just doesn't answer polls because they mistrust pollsters/media/the institutions/establishment whatever you call it.

Folksy Obama (or Bill Clinton) vs Elitist Romney, they leaned Obama. But with Trump on the ballot or GOP embracing Trump + media/the institutions/establishment sucking up for Dems so hard they do now, it is pretty clear which side these voters lean.

Now a lot of these voters are probably anti-vaxxers. Different mandates will make them, likely, even more mistrustful towards pollsters etc.

If you have to bet, which side pollsters likely are going to underestimate, the answer is clear.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,720
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: September 14, 2021, 06:01:10 PM »

DeSantis is overrated as a candidate and Rs still believe in him and he is only 3 pts ahead and and so is Rubio and Josh Mandel that's not a red wave
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.04 seconds with 13 queries.