NH (St. Anselm): Sununu +8

[S019]

Do you all not realize that Democrats have not nuked him yet? By the time election day rolls around he'll look much worse. And that isn't even taking into account how he has to handle keeping Trump away without alienating Trump voters.

New Hampshire is a swing state, not a blue state, it was very close in 2016 and just seems to tend to be elastic more than anything else. Also Democrats have tried tying him to Trump in all three of his statewide bids and it didn't work, the same failed strategies are not the answer, remains Lean R with Sununu, Tossup without.

You do realize that gubernatorial and Senate races are not exactly of the same nature, right? There’s a reason why people like Mike Sullivan, Bill Weld, Linda Lingle, Phil Bredesen and Steve Bullock were able to win gubernatorial races but not Senatorial races (The same would hold true for people like Phil Scott, Charlie Baker, and Larry Hogan should any of them attempt to run for Senate in the foreseeable future.). It is much easier to tie candidates to national political figures when they are running for federal offices instead of state- or local-level offices.

You do realize that AK, HI, TN, MT, MD, MA, and VT are all way less competitive nationally than NH, right? If Sununu has a Bredesen or Bayh-tier overperformance in NH, he will win, it's that simple.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Believing polls 500 days before Election especially having CCM and Hassan down in 304 map is inaccurate Conservative pollsters uses Phone polls and Liberal pollsters uses internet polling

That's why Rassy polls have Biden at a much lower Approval rating, LOL BIDEN isn't gonna be stuck under 50 come Nov 2022


But MT Treasurer believes it and Johnson will lose because Paul Ryan gave an olive branch to Ds that the Election wasn't stolen

[President Johnson]

It's early and I doubt the final margin would be eight points in a polarized national environment. However, not nearly where you want to be.

I'd feel better with Sununu running for reelection again. Honestly, I'd never trade the governorship for the senate as the former is much better to get policy done. Some senators that were former governors have expressed frustration how slow the senate works as opposed to being governor.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This isn't even a UNH or PPP or Change poll anyways

[Suburbia]

Tossup/Tilt R

Hassan needs to up her game, or else the NHDP may primary her or look for someone else...

Sununu is formidable

[kwabbit]

NH tracks pretty closely to the national PV, being a bit rightward in 2016 and a bit leftward in 2020. With Biden's honeymoon period ending and a traditionally midterm dynamic settling in, the fundamentals would indicate a very close race in NH. Given that Sununu is easily a stronger candidate than Hassan, I don't see how you could not have Sununu favored if he runs.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Tossup/Tilt R

Hassan needs to up her game, or else the NHDP may primary her or look for someone else...

Sununu is formidable

You wish, NH and NV will comeback to Ds next yr

When Be den Approval go up

Heller was leading Rosen  an Laxalt was leading SISOLAK

[free my dawg]

After the recent news I'm absolutely keeping this at Lean D.

[Suburbia]

After the recent news I'm absolutely keeping this at Lean D.

Tossup/Tilt R....

If Sununu wins, he will be VP material in 2024/2028

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

After the recent news I'm absolutely keeping this at Lean D.

Tossup/Tilt R....

If Sununu wins, he will be VP material in 2024/2028

It's 2021 not 2022

[Progressive Pessimist]

After the recent news I'm absolutely keeping this at Lean D.

I'm still not convinced that abortion rights in and of themselves as an issue is going to be some sort of savior in this race, or others, but at least you're from New Hampshire and probably have a  better idea of your state in saying this. So I hope you're correct. I just don't expect potential voters to put two and two together yet when it comes to how Sununu being another number for McConnell can affect the issue for the worse.

[VBM]

Ugh, we’re gonna get another Susan Collins in the Senate, aren’t we?

[Xing]

Likely inflated, but I stand by my prediction that Hassan is more likely to lose than Masto if Sununu runs (and maybe even if he doesn't.)

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Likely inflated, but I stand by my prediction that Hassan is more likely to lose than Masto if Sununu runs (and maybe even if he doesn't.)

Lol Hassan isn't going anywhere, Ayotte was leading Hassan until the Final weekend of the campaign and SHE LOST

WE ARE GONNA GE JUNKY POLLS BETWEEN NOW AND ELECTION NIGHT, ITS Halloween too, these polls are off, even if SUNUNU did win he won't win by nine pts

The reason why Collins won, this is her last term because she was affiliated with Olympia Snowe, without Snowe she is a FAKE MODERATE FILIBUSTER VR REFORM

[Secretary of State Liberal Hack]

There needs to be recent polling, Sununu has been governing like NH is a trump +8 state rather than a Biden +8 State, that's gotta take a toll on his cross-over support.

[Ron DeSantis enthusiast]

There needs to be recent polling, Sununu has been governing like NH is a trump +8 state rather than a Biden +8 State, that's gotta take a toll on his cross-over support.

Here you have your most recent poll. https://twitter.com/adamsextonwmur/status/1453102217750360066?s=21

[free my dawg]

The poll has Hassan and Sununu running even with the youngs. Junk It!