Could Colorado vote to the left of Oregon?
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  Could Colorado vote to the left of Oregon? 		« previous next »
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Author Topic: Could Colorado vote to the left of Oregon?  (Read 620 times)
Cyrusman
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« on: August 25, 2021, 10:36:08 PM »
Anytime soon?
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Chips
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: August 26, 2021, 01:42:15 AM »
I'd argue it's a somewhat realistic possibility in 2024.
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: August 27, 2021, 10:55:42 PM »
Definitely.  It's a very educated state.  It's fairly diverse.  Has a growing metropolitan area.  Lots of growing industries.  Denver is doing a lot better than Portland lately.

It's like Virginia but unexpectedly to most, it's actually trending faster than Virginia.  It's probably because it has less west coast competition than Virginia does on the east coast, where people moving south are splitting between VA/NC/GA and some parts of FL.  CO mostly has AZ as competition.
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THG
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« Reply #3 on: August 28, 2021, 08:30:08 AM »
« Edited: August 28, 2021, 08:34:55 AM by THG »
I could see Colorado voting to the left of Illinois or New Jersey in 2024, if not necessarily Oregon.

Unlike Arizona, Nevada or Texas, the transplants there are generally overwhelmingly liberal, and not a mix of liberals and conservatives (even if they aren’t as universally liberal as the ones moving to Portland and Bend). The state barely has any rural population to speak of as well, and the WWC/Hispanic parts of Southern Colorado trending right aren’t enough to counteract the Denver metro area.

Overall, CO is doom for Republicans.

However going back to the original point, Oregon is like Colorado but arguably even more liberal (specifically Portland). It is true that Oregon’s rurals are more populated than Colorado’s, but Portland and now Bend are getting a decent amount of very liberal California transplants, whom are even more liberal on average than the Californian transplants to Colorado. So sure, I could see Colorado voting to the left of NJ or Illinois, but not Oregon, because of how similar the two states are.
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its_gi_brown
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« Reply #4 on: August 28, 2021, 01:21:34 PM »
I think so. Colorado has been trending blue very quickly, while Oregon is not trending quickly in either direction. It wouldn't surprise me.
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THG
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« Reply #5 on: August 28, 2021, 02:40:45 PM »
Quote from: its_gi_brown on August 28, 2021, 01:21:34 PM
I think so. Colorado has been trending blue very quickly, while Oregon is not trending quickly in either direction. It wouldn't surprise me.

Oregon swung like 6 points left from 2016, no? It’s trending blue rather quickly as well.
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its_gi_brown
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« Reply #6 on: August 28, 2021, 06:28:54 PM »
Quote from: THG on August 28, 2021, 02:40:45 PM
Quote from: its_gi_brown on August 28, 2021, 01:21:34 PM
I think so. Colorado has been trending blue very quickly, while Oregon is not trending quickly in either direction. It wouldn't surprise me.

Oregon swung like 6 points left from 2016, no? It’s trending blue rather quickly as well.

You're probably right. I should have brushed up on my numbers
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